Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 6 March 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Benito Villamarín (Sevilla) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Football Plus, SuperSport Maximo 360, SuperSport Variety 2
Argentina	14:45	Disney+
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Sport Austria 8
Chile	14:45	Disney+
China	01:45	iQIYI
Colombia	12:45	Disney+
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 9, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 7
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 9
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 8
Mexico	11:45	Claro Sports, Disney+
Myanmar	00:15	Canal+ Myanmar
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport Football Plus
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Peru	12:45	Disney+
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Portugal	17:45	Sport TV5
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 6
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Variety 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 2
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 10, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 8
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Uruguay	14:45	Disney+
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	Betis		Vitoria Guimarães

	1	X	2
	1.53	4	7
	1.52	3.8	5.75
	1.55	4	6
	1.57	4.01	6.56
	1.59	3.84	6.25	Watch
	1.55	4.01	7.08
	1.55	4	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.74)	3.95 ↑ (3.47)	6.38 ↑ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Betis
61.1%

Draw
24%

Vitoria Guimarães
14.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

54.6%

27.3%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.5%

26.8%

17.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Betis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Betis's performance.

Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Betis than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Betis that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.3%	12%	3.6%

Betis - Vitoria Guimarães Predictions

Users Predictions: Betis will win (68 of 78 users predict this - 87.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.76% – 94.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vieites F. (G) 24. Ruibal A. 5. Bartra M. 6. Natan 15. Perraud R. 16. Altimira S. 22. Isco (C) 4. Johnny Cardoso 7. Antony 11. Bakambu C. 36. Rodriguez J.	14. Varela B. (C) 22. Hevertton S. 24. Borevkovic T. 3. Villanueva M. 13. Mendes J. 10. Tiago Silva 8. Handel T. 17. Mendes J. 11. Embalo U. 7. Oliveira N. 77. Santos N.
Substitutes
13. Adrian (G) 9. Avila C. 10. Ezzalzouli A. 46. Flores M. 18. Fornals P. 41. Gonzalez M. (G) 3. Llorente D. 12. Rodriguez R. 23. Sabaly Y.	18. Arcanjo T. 16. Beni 27. Charles Silva (G) 86. Dieu M. 96. Duarte R. 91. Jose Ribeiro (G) 2. Miguel Maga 93. Rika 15. Rivas Viondi O. 20. Samu 92. Sousa D.
Coaches
Pellegrini M.	Freire L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
48', 1 - 0, Bakambu C. ⚽, Antony (A),
51', 1 - 1, Mendes J. ⚽, Santos N. (A),
54', Ruibal A. 🟨,
62', Altimira S. ↓, Fornals P. ↑,
66', Hevertton S. ↓, Miguel Maga ↑,
66', Mendes J. ↓, Samu ↑,
75', 2 - 1, Isco ⚽, Ruibal A. (A),
76', Embalo U. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
76', Johnny Cardoso ↓, Flores M. ↑,
76', Rodriguez J. ↓, Ezzalzouli A. ↑,
79', Bakambu C. ↓, Avila C. ↑,
81', Antony 🟨,
81', 2 - 2, Oliveira N. ⚽, Mendes J. (A),
86', Isco 🟨,
88', Oliveira N. ↓, Dieu M. ↑,
90+5', Avila C. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

Guimarães could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Betis is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Betis: Lo Celso G. (Muscle Injury) Roca M. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Guimarães: Gaspar B. (Muscle Injury) Gustavo Silva (Muscle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Betis to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Betis won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0 (average 1:0).

Including matches at home between the teams Betis won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Betis
Spanish LaLiga
01.03.25	Betis - Real Madrid	2:1 ✺
23.02.25	Getafe - Betis	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.02.25	Betis - Gent	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
16.02.25	Betis - Real Sociedad	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
13.02.25	Gent - Betis	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21.1 WWLWW
- Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal
01.03.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Casa Pia	1:0 ✺
24.02.25	Porto - Vitoria Guimarães	1:1 ✺
16.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - Braga	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Famalicão - Vitoria Guimarães	0:0 ✺
01.02.25	Vitoria Guimarães - AVS	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
07.11.13	Vitoria Guimarães - Betis	0:1
24.10.13	Betis - Vitoria Guimarães	1:0

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