Match Info

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday


	Sturm Graz		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.50	2.05
	3.30	3.70	2.10
	3.60	3.65	1.98
	3.50	3.66	2.12
	3.4	3.67	2.06	Watch
	3.40	3.55	1.99
	3.61	3.73	2.06
	3.35	3.65	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.42 ↑ (3.04)	3.64 ↑ (3.44)	2.05 ↓ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sturm Graz
27.7%

Draw
26.1%

Olympique Marseille
46.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

31.3%

27.6%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

26.3%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturm Graz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympique Marseille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sturm Graz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Olympique Marseille, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Sturm Graz - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sturm has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Marseille has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Marseille is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
26	Sturm Graz	2	0	1	1	0:3	-3	1
32	Marseille	2	0	0	2	1:5	-4	0

Outrights of UEFA Europa League for now

Marseille: 2.8% Sturm Graz: 0.89%

Last Results with these Odds

Olympique Marseille - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 41.13%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturm Graz
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Bournemouth - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
10.10.26	Austria Wien - Sturm Graz	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
02.10.26	Sturm Graz - Floridsdorfer AC	3:1 ✺
Austrian Bundesliga
20.09.26	Red Bull Salzburg - Sturm Graz	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.26	Sturm Graz - Rennes	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLT
- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Europa League
15.10.26	Olympique Marseille - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.10.26	Troyes - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	Olympique Marseille - Paris Saint-Germain	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Beşiktaş - Olympique Marseille	4:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
11.09.26	Rennes - Olympique Marseille	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LWLLL

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