The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Beşiktaş 72.5%
Draw 16.8%
Umraniyespor 10.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.5%
20.8%
14.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
67.9%
19.8%
14%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Beşiktaş has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Beşiktaş's performance.
Umraniyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Beşiktaş than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Umraniyespor than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
86.7%
6.7%
6.7%
Beşiktaş - Umraniyespor Predictions
Users Predictions:
Beşiktaş will win
(39 of 45 users predict this - 86.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.74% – 96.6%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 7 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig).
Beşiktaş has the most likely position - 5 (12.14%), has project points - 59, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (2%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Umraniyespor has the most likely position - 19 (39.58%), has project points - 28, has currently - 3, has a good chance of relegated (81%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality36, small importance21, small match rating29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Recent matches Beşiktaş is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Umraniyespor is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Beşiktaş could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Beşiktaş is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Beşiktaş: Ghezzal R.
(Muscle Injury)
Hutchinson A.
(Injury)
There will not play in Umraniyespor: Glumac T.
(Red Card)
Kirintili S.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Beşiktaş: Saiss R.
(Muscle Injury)
Uzunhan E.
(Muscle Injury)
Last 1 head-to-head matches Beşiktaş won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.
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