Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/64-finals

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Swansea.com Stadium (Swansea)

Referee: Ricardo R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Croatia	Arena Sport 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Japan	DAZN Japan
Malta	TSN Malta 6
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Slovakia	Nova Sport 3, Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
United-kingdom	Sky Sports+
Usa	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play


	Swansea City		Birmingham City

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.5	2.25	Watch
	2.95	3.40	2.30
	2.78	3.35	2.38	Watch
	2.92	3.43	2.46
	2.97	3.41	2.3
	2.85	3.35	2.4
	2.82	3.53	2.32	Watch
	3	3.55	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.88 ↓ (2.96)	3.44 ↓ (3.47)	2.35 ↑ (2.23)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Swansea City
32.7%

Draw
27.4%

Birmingham City
40%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

26.8%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Birmingham City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Swansea City - Birmingham City Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Swansea will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Birmingham will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Swansea: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.5 - Swansea (1.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 26. Lissah F. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 7. Widell M. 6. Stamenic M. 8. Just E. 49. Yeo M. K. 33. Idah A. 30. Opoku J.	1. Beadle J. (G) 26. Osayi-Samuel B. 5. Neumann P. 4. Klarer C. (C) 20. Cochrane A. 7. Vicente C. 24. Iwata T. 14. Solis Romero J. E. 28. Stansfield J. 8. Paik Seung-Ho 9. Priske A.
Substitutes
10. Eom Ji-Sung 1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Fulton J. 2. Key J. 20. Parente T. 35. Ronald 9. Vipotnik Z. 21. Walta L. 23. Welsh S.	21. Allsop R. (G) 3. Buchanan L. 23. Fry D. 10. Gray D. 2. Laird E. 25. Lund K. 16. Roberts P. 32. Vazquez L. 11. Wright S.
Coaches
Emanuel Soares Matos V.	Davies C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Widell M. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Priske A. ⚽, Vicente C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cochrane A. ↓, Buchanan L. ↑,
62', Burgess C. 🟨,
63', Yeo M. K. ↓, Walta L. ↑,
63', Idah A. ↓, Vipotnik Z. ↑,
63', Widell M. ↓, Fulton J. ↑,
65', Lissah F. ↓, Key J. ↑,
65', Paik Seung-Ho ↓, Gray D. ↑,
72', Stansfield J. ↓, Laird E. ↑,
72', Priske A. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
82', Stamenic M. ↓, Eom Ji-Sung ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 0.

Birmingham is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Swansea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Swansea won 4 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:22. (average 1.4:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Swansea won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 1.6:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Swansea City - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.43%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Swansea City
Club Friendly
01.08.26	Swansea City - Leganés	1:0 ✺
24.07.26	Swansea City - Udinese	2:0 ✺
21.07.26	Swansea City - Bochum	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Swansea City - Holstein Kiel	2:2 ✺
English League Championship
02.05.26	Swansea City - Charlton Athletic	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLTW
- Birmingham City
Club Friendly
31.07.26	Birmingham City - Barcelona	3:2 penalties ✺
25.07.26	Crewe Alexandra - Birmingham City	1:2 ✺
22.07.26	Burton Albion - Birmingham City	0:1 ✺
15.07.26	Solihull Moors - Birmingham City	0:3 ✺
10.07.26	Birmingham City - Huddersfield Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
17.01.26	Swansea City - Birmingham City	1:1
20.09.25	Birmingham City - Swansea City	1:0
13.01.24	Birmingham City - Swansea City	2:2
05.08.23	Swansea City - Birmingham City	1:1
04.02.23	Swansea City - Birmingham City	3:4
08.11.22	Birmingham City - Swansea City	2:2
19.03.22	Swansea City - Birmingham City	0:0

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