Match Info

USL Cup

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Keyworth Stadium (Hamtramck, MI)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Detroit City		Lexington

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.25	3.75
	1.93	3.25	3.50
	2.16	3.15	3.87
	1.89	3.63	3.55	Watch
	2.1	2.9	3.2
	2.05	2.78	3.94	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.1)	3.17 ↓ (3.2)	3.57 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Detroit City
45.5%

Draw
28.9%

Lexington
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

30.1%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Detroit City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Lexington has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Detroit City than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lexington than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Detroit City - Lexington Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrera C. (G) 14. Yamazaki H. 30. Amoo-Mensah D. (C) 4. Montgomery C. 33. Silva T. 17. Rafa Mentzingen 22. Hernandez-Foster K. 6. Williams R. 32. Diouf A. 7. Smith D. 15. Dalou A.	17. Semmle O. (G) 12. Zengue X. 5. Burks K. 4. Ordonez A. 22. Hafferty J. 16. Ferri B. 6. Molloy A. (C) 19. Scott T. 8. Nick Firmino 7. Epps M. 11. Midence A.
Substitutes
8. Diop A. 18. Etaka P. 20. Hope-Gund R. 9. Morris B. 91. Saldana C. (G) 3. Stanley A. 2. Williams R.	40. Addams G. (G) 10. Adedokun M. 30. Blessing L. 23. Brown J. 2. Greene J. 18. Henry-Scott M. 27. Rodrigues B. P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', Zengue X. 🟨,
16', Diouf A. (Penalty Awarded),
28', 1 - 0, Montgomery C. ⚽, Smith D. (A),
36', Scott T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Scott T. ↓, Rodrigues B. P. ↑,
46', Ordonez A. ↓, Brown J. ↑,
46', Hafferty J. ↓, Greene J. ↑,
51', Ferri B. 🟨,
55', Greene J. 🟨,
59', Smith D. 🟨,
62', Dalou A. ↓, Diop A. ↑,
62', Rafa Mentzingen ↓, Williams R. ↑,
67', Midence A. ↓, Adedokun M. ↑,
68', Amoo-Mensah D. 🟨,
76', Diouf A. ↓, Stanley A. ↑,
76', Ferri B. ↓, Blessing L. ↑,
84', Molloy A. 🟨,
84', Hernandez-Foster K. 🟨,
90+3', Smith D. ↓, Etaka P. ↑,
90+5', 1 - 1, Blessing L. ⚽, Epps M. (A),
90+5', Hernandez-Foster K. ↓, Morris B. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Diouf A. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Molloy A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Etaka P. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Adedokun M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Stanley A. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Nick Firmino (Penalty Awarded),
4, Morris B. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Epps M. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Detroit City has had a series of away games.

In this match, Detroit City is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Detroit City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Detroit City won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Detroit City - the odds 2.1 are the expected chance of winning is 43.24%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Detroit City FC
USL Championship
30.05.26	Charleston Battery - Detroit City	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Loudoun United - Detroit City	0:0 ✺
20.05.26	Detroit City - Miami	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
16.05.26	Forward Madison - Detroit City	0:1 ✺
USL Championship
09.05.26	Hartford Athletic - Detroit City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWWL
- Lexington SC
USL Championship
30.05.26	El Paso Locomotive - Lexington	1:4 ✺
23.05.26	Indy Eleven - Lexington	3:1 ✺
08.05.26	Lexington - Monterey Bay	3:1 ✺
02.05.26	Las Vegas Lights - Lexington	2:1 ✺
USL Cup
25.04.26	Lexington - Forward Madison	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
20.09.25	Detroit City - Lexington	0:1

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