Match Info

USL Championship

Date: 1 October 2025, Wednesday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham, AL)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+
Mexico	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+


	Birmingham Legion		North Carolina

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.3	2.88
	2.25	3.52	3.09
	2.25	3.37	3.05	Watch
	2.22	3.4	3.09	Watch
	2.08	3.45	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.14)	3.41 ↓ (3.54)	3.03 ↑ (3.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
42.1%

Draw
27.3%

North Carolina
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

26.1%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

25.3%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

The chances for North Carolina have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Carolina than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Birmingham Legion - North Carolina Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Birmingham will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). North Carolina will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. North Carolina (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Delgado F. (G) 2. Turnbull S. 3. Kavita P. 20. Paterson AJ 26. Daley A. 16. Vassell P. 6. McIllhatton S. 11. McCartney D. 15. Pasher T. (C) 19. Martinez E. 9. Damus R.	22. Semmle O. (G) 19. Al Qaq A. 27. Washington B. 66. Sundstrom F. 55. Hodge T. 23. Forbes J. 8. Pedro Becker 13. Perez L. (C) 44. Sommersall R. 6. Roberts T. 16. Da Costa R.
Substitutes
27. Centeno E. 17. Laszo E. 12. McMullen T. (G) 10. Preston T. 13. Rufe J. 43. Suarez S. 21. Tregarthen S.	11. Burner P. 7. Conway E. 5. Craig P. 20. Donovan C. 15. Maldonado M. 1. McGuire J. (G) 71. Quintanilla J. 10. Servania J.
Coaches
Briggs M.	Bradford J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', 0 - 1, Forbes J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
65', Washington B. ↓, Donovan C. ↑,
72', Pasher T. ↓, Preston T. ↑,
72', Daley A. ↓, Tregarthen S. ↑,
72', McIllhatton S. ↓, Laszo E. ↑,
76', Forbes J. ↓, Servania J. ↑,
81', Tregarthen S. ↓, Rufe J. ↑,
81', McCartney D. ↓, Centeno E. ↑,
89', Da Costa R. ↓, Maldonado M. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 1, Turnbull S. ⚽, Centeno E. (A),

Preview

Birmingham is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, North Carolina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

North Carolina may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Birmingham has had a series of away games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Birmingham won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 2:2).

Including home match between the teams, Birmingham won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
27.09.25	San Antonio - Birmingham Legion	0:0 ✺
21.09.25	Indy Eleven - Birmingham Legion	2:1 ✺
17.09.25	Birmingham Legion - Tampa Bay Rowdies	1:4 ✺
06.09.25	Tulsa - Birmingham Legion	1:1 ✺
30.08.25	Orange County SC - Birmingham Legion	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TLLTT
- North Carolina FC
USL Championship
26.09.25	North Carolina - Miami	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Tampa Bay Rowdies - North Carolina	2:2 ✺
12.09.25	North Carolina - El Paso Locomotive	1:0 ✺
05.09.25	Lexington - North Carolina	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	North Carolina - Hartford Athletic	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLL

Latest Head to Head

USL Championship
11.07.25	North Carolina - Birmingham Legion	2:3
06.10.24	Birmingham Legion - North Carolina	2:3
14.04.24	North Carolina - Birmingham Legion	1:1

Upcoming Matches