Match Info

Date: 13 August 2022, Saturday

Location: Protective Stadium (Birmingham)

Referee: Flores G. (Usa)


	Birmingham Legion		San Diego Loyal

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.1	Watch
	1.85	3.6	3.4
	1.96	3.4	3.15
	2.11	3.63	3.24
	1.98	3.5	3.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.89)	3.53 ↓ (3.63)	3.23 ↓ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Birmingham Legion
46%

Draw
25.8%

San Diego Loyal
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

25.4%

26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

28.6%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Birmingham Legion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

San Diego Loyal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Birmingham Legion than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Birmingham Legion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Diego Loyal than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for San Diego Loyal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Birmingham Legion - San Diego Loyal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

San Diego Loyal has the most likely position - 2 (64.73%), has project points - 64, has currently - 49, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a good chance of qtrs (74%), has a chance of semis (46%), has a chance of final (23%), has a small chance of win league (10%).

This event has small quality 24, very small importance 7, small match rating 15. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Birmingham is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

San Diego Loyal is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

San Diego Loyal could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently San Diego Loyal have a series of home games.

Birmingham will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Birmingham Legion
USL Championship
06.08.22	Birmingham Legion - Atlanta United II	6:0 ✺
30.07.22	Hartford Athletic - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
27.07.22	Birmingham Legion - Loudoun United	6:1 ✺
23.07.22	Birmingham Legion - Tulsa	0:2 ✺
16.07.22	Sacramento Republic - Birmingham Legion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLW
- San Diego Loyal
USL Championship
10.08.22	San Diego Loyal - Monterey Bay	1:0 ✺
06.08.22	San Diego Loyal - San Antonio	3:0 ✺
30.07.22	Orange County SC - San Diego Loyal	2:3 ✺
23.07.22	San Diego Loyal - Rio Grande Valley	2:1 ✺
18.07.22	San Diego Loyal - Colorado Springs Switchbacks	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

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