The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Blackburn Rovers 56.1%
Draw 26.9%
Reading 17%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52.4%
26.8%
20.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.7%
26.2%
20.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Blackburn Rovers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackburn Rovers than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
2.5%
5.8%
Blackburn Rovers - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
Blackburn Rovers will win
(111 of 121 users predict this - 91.74%). Confidence interval (95%): 86.84% – 96.64%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 16).
Blackburn has the most likely position - 7 (14.25%), project points - 71, currently - 58, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a chance of prom. playoffs (32%), a very small chance of promoted (5%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Reading has the most likely position - 17 (16.76%), project points - 55, currently - 44, a very small chance of relegated (2%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
This event has quality37, small importance11, small match rating24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 1.
Blackburn is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Reading is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Reading could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Blackburn is a favorite.
There will not play in Blackburn: Ayala D.
(Muscle Injury)
Barnes S.
(Knee Injury)
Dack B.
(Muscle Injury)
Kaminski T.
(Knee Injury)
Vale J.
(Injury)
Wharton A.
(Injury)
Wharton S.
(Calf Injury)
There will not play in Reading: Baba A.
(Leg Injury)
Hoilett J.
(Muscle Injury)
Hutchinson S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tetek D.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Ejaria O.
(Knee Injury)
Our prediction for today's Blackburn to win the game is with odds 1.74.
Last 17 head-to-head matches Blackburn won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 23-26.
Including matches at home between the teams Blackburn won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 18-14.
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