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Current Win Probability
Middlesbrough 68.1%
Draw 20.4%
Reading 11.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
62.7%
22.7%
14.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
65.7%
21.7%
13.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
77.3%
9.1%
13.6%
Middlesbrough - Reading Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Reading will win (votes: 3 - 13.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 59.8% โ 94.8%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs) and 15).
Middlesbrough has the most likely position - 3 (36.21%), has project points - 77, has currently - 57, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (77%), has a chance of promoted (31%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Reading has the most likely position - 16 (11.21%), has project points - 59, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality44, small importance16, small match rating30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 2.
Middlesbrough is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Recent matches Reading is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Middlesbrough could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Middlesbrough is the unquestionable favorite.
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Clarke M.
(Back Injury)
Fisher D.
(Injury)
There will not play in Reading: Baba A.
(Leg Injury)
Hutchinson S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Joao L.
(Knee Injury)
Tetek D.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Ejaria O.
(Knee Injury)
Holmes T.
(Calf Injury)
Moore L.
(Injury)
Our prediction for today's Middlesbrough to win the game is with odds 1.41.
Last 19 head-to-head matches Middlesbrough won 10 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 19-14.
Including matches at home between the teams Middlesbrough won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-7.
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