The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Reading 23.8%
Draw 29.2%
Millwall 47%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.6%
29.4%
37%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.6%
29.4%
37%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reading has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reading's form might have worsened.
Millwall has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Millwall's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reading than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reading, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Millwall than the current prediction. (-10%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Millwall, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.7%
13%
65.2%
Reading - Millwall Predictions
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Reading will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Millwall will win (votes: 15 - 65.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13%). Confidence interval (95%) for Millwall: 45.7% – 84.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 16 and 7).
Reading has the most likely position - 17 (12.87%), has project points - 56, has currently - 44, has a very small chance of relegated (2%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Millwall has the most likely position - 4 (16.99%), has project points - 73, has currently - 54, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a good chance of prom. playoffs (58%), has a chance of promoted (16%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality41, small importance21, match rating31. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Reading won 1.
One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
Reading could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Millwall will have a mini benefit in this match.
There will not play in Reading: Baba A.
(Leg Injury)
Hoilett J.
(Muscle Injury)
Hutchinson S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Tetek D.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in Millwall: Bennett M.
(Ankle Injury)
Burey T.
(Hip Injury)
Mitchell B.
(Injury)
Styles C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Reading: Ejaria O.
(Knee Injury)
Last 17 head-to-head matches Reading won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21-19.
Including matches at home between the teams Reading won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13-11.
Watch
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