The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Derby County 27.3%
Draw 28.5%
Southampton 44.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31%
27%
42%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.7%
26.7%
42.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southampton than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
29.2%
41.7%
29.2%
Derby County - Southampton Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). S`hampton will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 40.9%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 20.4% โ 61.4%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - S`hampton (1.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Derby (votes: 3 - 42.9%). S`hampton (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 22. Johnston M. 28. Sanderson D. 5. Clarke M. 3. Forsyth C. 27. Travis L. (C) 18. Ozoh D. 42. Clark B. 9. Morris C. 14. Weimann A. 7. Agyemang P.
1. McCarthy A. (G) 12. Edwards R. 15. Wood N. 17. Quarshie J. 3. Manning R. 20. Jander C. 24. Charles S. 26. Fraser R. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A. (C) 11. Stewart R.
Substitutes
32. Adams E. 4. Batth D. 10. Brewster R. 19. Jackson K. 24. Nyambe R. 15. Salvesen L. 31. Vickers J. (G) 23. Ward J. 48. Wheeldon L.
19. Archer C. 10. Azaz F. 31. Bazunu G. (G) 4. Downes F. 42. Downs D. 18. Fellows T. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 38. Jelert E. 2. Roerslev Rasmussen M.
Coaches
Eustace J.
Still W.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Armstrong A. ⚽,
15', Stewart R. 🟨,
22', Forsyth C. 🟨,
30', Stewart R. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
32', Travis L. 🟨,
33', Johnston M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Agyemang P. ⚽, Weimann A. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Scienza L. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
62', Weimann A. 🟨,
68', Clark B. ↓, Brewster R. ↑,
69', Ozoh D. ↓, Adams E. ↑,
79', Charles S. ↓, Downes F. ↑,
79', Fraser R. ↓, Azaz F. ↑,
79', Agyemang P. ↓, Jackson K. ↑,
79', Weimann A. ↓, Ward J. ↑,
85', Downes F. 🟨,
85', Morris C. ↓, Salvesen L. ↑,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 and 15).
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Derby may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
S`hampton is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Derby: Beck O.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Blackett-Taylor C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Brewster R.
(Injury)
Langas S.
(Knee Injury)
Thompson L.
(Inactive)
There will not play in S`hampton: Edozie S.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in S`hampton: Welington
(Ankle Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Derby won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:8. (average 2:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Derby won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
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Widell Zetterstrom J. (G) 
Johnston M. 
Sanderson D. 
Weimann A. 
Agyemang P. 
Quarshie J. 
Manning R. 
Charles S. 
Scienza L. 
Adams E. 
Nyambe R. 
Salvesen L. 
Jelert E. 
Still W. 
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