Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 33

Date: 22 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool)

Referee: Reeves T. (Eng)


	Blackpool		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.5	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.64	4.32	5
	1.62	4.16	4.81	Watch
	1.62	4	5
	1.63	4.24	4.54	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.52)	4.19 ↑ (4.16)	4.76 ↓ (5.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blackpool
57.8%

Draw
22.5%

Crawley Town
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

22.5%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

22%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Blackpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	12.5%	25%

Blackpool - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Blackpool: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Tyrer H. (G) 24. Offiah O. 20. Casey O. 3. Husband J. (C) 15. Coulson H. 22. Hamilton C. 8. Morgan A. 7. Evans L. 10. Carey S. 21. Ennis N. 11. Fletcher A.	1. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 30. Radcliffe B. 7. Forster H. 26. Doyle K. 10. Fraser L. 6. Anderson M. 9. Swan W. 45. John-Jules T. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R.
Substitutes
25. Apter R. 12. Baggott E. 18. Beesley J. 4. Lawrence-Gabriel J. 1. O'Donnell R. (G) 17. Onomah J. 19. Silvera S.	22. Adeyemo A. 12. Camara P. 2. Feely R. 8. Holohan G. 18. Quitirna A. 27. Watson L.
Coaches
Bruce S.	Elliot R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
10', 1 - 0, Ennis N. ⚽, Hamilton C. (A),
18', 2 - 0, Ennis N. ⚽, Coulson H. (A),
30', 2 - 1, Doyle K. ⚽, Anderson M. (A),
32', Fletcher A. 🟥,
45+2', Evans L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Hamilton C. ↓, Lawrence-Gabriel J. ↑,
57', Swan W. 🟨,
58', Anderson M. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
75', Radcliffe B. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,
75', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
76', Ennis N. ↓, Beesley J. ↑,
79', 3 - 1, Evans L. (Pen),
89', Morgan A. ↓, Onomah J. ↑,
90', John-Jules T. ↓, Feely R. ↑,
90', Doyle K. ↓, Watson L. ↑,
90+2', Coulson H. ↓, Baggott E. ↑,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 12 and 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Blackpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crawley have a series of home games.

In this match Blackpool is a favorite.

There will not play in Blackpool: Bloxham T. (Injury) Lyons A. (Injury)

There will not play in Crawley: Flint J. (Injury) Mukena J. (Injury) Sandford R. (Injury)

There are questionable in Blackpool: Pennington M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Crawley: Mullarkey T. (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League One
15.02.25	Blackpool - Mansfield Town	3:3 ✺
11.02.25	Blackpool - Rotherham United	0:0 ✺
08.02.25	Burton Albion - Blackpool	1:1 ✺
01.02.25	Blackpool - Charlton Athletic	2:2 ✺
28.01.25	Lincoln City - Blackpool	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTTTW
- Crawley Town
English League One
18.02.25	Crawley Town - Wigan Athletic	1:1 ✺
15.02.25	Crawley Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
01.02.25	Crawley Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTWLL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
10.08.24	Crawley Town - Blackpool	2:1
English League Two
07.02.17	Blackpool - Crawley Town	0:0
01.10.16	Crawley Town - Blackpool	1:0

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