Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 30

Date: 1 February 2025, Saturday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Howard P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+


	Crawley Town		Wrexham

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.4	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.4	1.9
	3.75	3.6	1.95
	3.91	3.65	2
	4.1	3.57	1.85	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.95
	3.94	3.53	1.92	Watch
	3.75	3.6	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.85 (3.85)	3.53 ↓ (3.6)	1.93 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
24.5%

Draw
26.7%

Wrexham
48.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

26.1%

49.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.4%

25.2%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Wrexham has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wrexham than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
15.4%	15.4%	69.2%

Crawley Town - Wrexham Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Wrexham will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Wrexham: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Cox M. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 30. Radcliffe B. 7. Forster H. 12. Camara P. 23. Ibrahim B. 6. Anderson M. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 9. Swan W. 45. John-Jules T.	21. Howard M. (G) 4. Cleworth M. 5. O'Connell E. 3. Brunt L. 29. Barnett R. 15. Dobson G. 37. James M. 20. Rathbone O. 7. McClean J. (C) 28. Smith S. 16. Rodriguez J.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 26. Doyle K. 2. Feely R. 8. Holohan G. 19. Kelly J. 21. Sheik J. (G) 29. Showunmi T.	26. Fletcher S. 38. Lee E. 47. Longman R. 11. Marriott J. 1. Okonkwo A. (G) 23. Revan S. 24. Scarr D.
Coaches
Elliot R.	Parkinson P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, James M. ⚽, Rathbone O. (A),
44', Camara P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', O'Connell E. 🟨,
54', Camara P. ↓, Kelly J. ↑,
55', John-Jules T. ↓, Showunmi T. ↑,
61', Forster H. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
70', Rodriguez J. ↓, Fletcher S. ↑,
77', Anderson M. ↓, Feely R. ↑,
77', Swan W. ↓, Doyle K. ↑,
77', Barnett R. ↓, Marriott J. ↑,
77', Smith S. ↓, Longman R. ↑,
88', James M. ↓, Lee E. ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Ibrahim B. ⚽,
90+5', 1 - 2, Lee E. ⚽, Longman R. (A),

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).

Recent matches Crawley is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Wrexham could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Crawley have a series of guest games.

In this match Wrexham is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:7 (average 0.7:2.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Crawley won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
28.01.25	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Stockport County - Crawley Town	2:0 ✺
18.01.25	Crawley Town - Burton Albion	1:1 ✺
04.01.25	Barnsley - Crawley Town	3:0 ✺
29.12.24	Exeter City - Crawley Town	4:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLTLT
- Wrexham AFC
English League One
28.01.25	Wrexham - Stevenage Borough	2:3 ✺
23.01.25	Wrexham - Birmingham City	1:1 ✺
16.01.25	Shrewsbury Town - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
04.01.25	Wrexham - Peterborough United	1:0 ✺
01.01.25	Barnsley - Wrexham	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

English League One
21.09.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	2:1
English League Two
09.04.24	Wrexham - Crawley Town	4:1
07.10.23	Crawley Town - Wrexham	0:1

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