Match Info

ENGLAND: League One - Round 26

Date: 18 February 2025, Tuesday

Location: The Broadfield Stadium (Crawley)

Referee: Eley R. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


United-kingdom	Sky Sports+


	Crawley Town		Wigan Athletic

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.8	3	2.7	Watch
	2.83	3.15	2.8
	2.74	2.97	2.74	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.62
	2.73	3.16	2.68	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.72)	3.09 ↓ (3.3)	2.7 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Crawley Town
34.4%

Draw
30.6%

Wigan Athletic
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.6%

28.5%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

28.8%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Wigan Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wigan Athletic than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	41.7%	33.3%

Crawley Town - Wigan Athletic Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Crawley will win (votes: 6 - 25%). Wigan will win (votes: 8 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 41.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 22% – 61.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Wollacott J. (G) 5. Barker C. 3. Conroy D. (C) 30. Radcliffe B. 7. Forster H. 26. Doyle K. 6. Anderson M. 12. Camara P. 10. Fraser L. 14. Hepburn-Murphy R. 29. Showunmi T.	1. Tickle S. (G) 17. Sibbick T. 15. Kerr J. (C) 4. Aimson W. 2. Mellish J. 6. Weir J. 25. Norburn O. 44. Hungbo J. 10. Darcy R. 11. Dale O. 28. Taylor D.
Substitutes
22. Adeyemo A. 2. Feely R. 8. Holohan G. 45. John-Jules T. 18. Quitirna A. 9. Swan W.	16. Adeeko B. 37. Asamoah M. 20. McManaman C. 5. Sessegnon S. 18. Smith J. 21. Smith S. 12. Watson T. (G)
Coaches
Elliot R.	Maloney S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Taylor D. ⚽, Darcy R. (A),
42', 1 - 1, Barker C. ⚽, Doyle K. (A),
45', Weir J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
52', Dale O. 🟨,
59', Showunmi T. ↓, John-Jules T. ↑,
59', Anderson M. ↓, Quitirna A. ↑,
63', John-Jules T. 🟨,
67', Hungbo J. ↓, Smith J. ↑,
72', Weir J. ↓, Adeeko B. ↑,
82', Hepburn-Murphy R. ↓, Swan W. ↑,
82', Doyle K. ↓, Adeyemo A. ↑,
84', Dale O. ↓, McManaman C. ↑,
84', Norburn O. ↓, Smith S. ↑,
85', Camara P. ↓, Holohan G. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 2.

Aalborg is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Magdeburg could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Magdeburg will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Magdeburg won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 199:191 (average 28.4:27.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Magdeburg won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 109:103 (average 27.3:25.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Crawley Town
English League One
15.02.25	Crawley Town - Wycombe Wanderers	1:1 ✺
11.02.25	Crawley Town - Stevenage Borough	3:1 ✺
08.02.25	Bolton Wanderers - Crawley Town	4:3 ✺
01.02.25	Crawley Town - Wrexham	1:2 ✺
28.01.25	Mansfield Town - Crawley Town	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.6 TWLLW
- Wigan Athletic
English League One
15.02.25	Wigan Athletic - Stockport County	0:2 ✺
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Wigan Athletic - Fulham	1:2 ✺
English League One
01.02.25	Wigan Athletic - Lincoln City	1:1 ✺
28.01.25	Peterborough United - Wigan Athletic	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Wigan Athletic - Bristol Rovers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

English League One
24.08.24	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	1:0
English FA Cup
04.11.17	Wigan Athletic - Crawley Town	2:1

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