Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Bloomfield Road (Blackpool)

Referee: Madley R. (Eng)


	Blackpool		Watford

	1	X	2
	3.2	3.4	2.25
	3.2	3.25	2.25
	3.25	3.35	2.3
	3.15	3.25	2.25
	3.32	3.36	2.33
	3.2	3.1	2.3
	3.24	3.24	2.31	Watch
	3.2	3.35	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.22 ↓ (3.36)	3.29 ↑ (3.24)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Blackpool
29.5%

Draw
28.9%

Watford
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

28.8%

43.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

29.5%

44.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blackpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blackpool than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.7%	17.4%	60.9%

Blackpool - Watford Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Blackpool will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). Watford will win (votes: 14 - 60.9%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Watford: 41% – 80.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 and 9).

Blackpool has the most likely position - 24 (9.58%), has project points - 53, has currently - 12, has a chance of relegated (26%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (5%), has a very small chance of promoted (2%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Watford has the most likely position - 2 (11.33%), has project points - 75, has currently - 17, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (30%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 45, importance 34, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 2.

Blackpool is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Watford is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Blackpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Blackpool have a series of guest games.

Watford will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Blackpool: Anderson K. (Injury) Beesley J. (Injury) Stewart K. (Injury)

There will not play in Watford: Cleverley T. (Injury) Dele-Bashiru T. (Injury) Manaj R. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Blackpool won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Blackpool won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blackpool
English League Championship
04.10.22	Sunderland - Blackpool	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Blackpool - Norwich City	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Millwall - Blackpool	2:1 ✺
14.09.22	Rotherham United - Blackpool	3:0 ✺
04.09.22	Huddersfield Town - Blackpool	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TLLLW
- Watford FC
English League Championship
05.10.22	Watford - Swansea City	1:2 ✺
02.10.22	Stoke City - Watford	0:4 ✺
17.09.22	Watford - Sunderland	2:2 ✺
13.09.22	Blackburn Rovers - Watford	2:0 ✺
03.09.22	Rotherham United - Watford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWTLT

Latest Head to Head

English League Championship
24.01.15	Watford - Blackpool	7:2
16.09.14	Blackpool - Watford	0:1
01.03.14	Watford - Blackpool	4:0
31.08.13	Blackpool - Watford	1:0
09.03.13	Watford - Blackpool	1:2
24.11.12	Blackpool - Watford	2:2
06.04.12	Watford - Blackpool	N/A

Upcoming Matches