The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Watford 31.7%
Draw 27.4%
Sunderland 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.6%
27%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.2%
28.2%
35.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
Sunderland has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Watford, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sunderland than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sunderland, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
6.2%
50%
43.7%
Watford - Sunderland Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Sunderland will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
23. Bond J. (G) 22. Morris J. 21. Ogbonna A. 6. Pollock M. 36. Ebosele F. 24. Dele-Bashiru T. 17. Sissoko M. (C) 37. Larouci Y. 39. Kayembe E. 8. Chakvetadze G. 19. Bayo V.
1. Patterson A. (G) 32. Hume T. 26. Mepham C. 13. O'Nien L. 3. Cirkin D. 11. Rigg C. 4. Neil D. (C) 7. Bellingham J. 10. Roberts P. 18. Isidor W. 14. Mundle R.
Substitutes
34. Baah K. 7. Ince T. 18. Jebbison D. 10. Louza I. 41. Marriott A. (G) 5. Porteous R. 12. Sema K. 15. Tikvic A. 11. Vata R.
30. Aleksic M. 17. Ba A. 33. Hjelde L. F. 5. Johnson Z. 50. Jones H. 21. Moore S. (G) 36. Poveda I. 15. Rusyn N. . Watson T.
Coaches
Cleverley T.
Le Bris R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Ebosele F. ⚽, Larouci Y. (A),
30', Ebosele F. 🟨,
45', Bellingham J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Isidor W. ⚽, Roberts P. (A),
57', Ebosele F. ↓, Porteous R. ↑,
57', Larouci Y. ↓, Sema K. ↑,
57', Kayembe E. ↓, Ince T. ↑,
64', Porteous R. 🟨,
69', Bayo V. ↓, Jebbison D. ↑,
73', Isidor W. ↓, Rusyn N. ↑,
73', Roberts P. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
74', Chakvetadze G. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
84', 2 - 1, Dele-Bashiru T. (Pen),
85', Mundle R. ↓, Watson T. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Watford won 2.
Watford is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Sunderland is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Watford could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
There will not play in Watford: Bachmann D.
(Hip Injury)
Keben K.
(Knee Injury)
Ngakia J.
(Hip Injury)
Sierralta F.
(Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Sunderland: Alese A.
(Ankle Injury)
Huggins N.
(Knee Injury)
Seelt J.
(Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Watford: Andrews R.
(Hamstring Injury)
Last 8 head-to-head matches Watford won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Watford won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.
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Bond J. (G) 
Ogbonna A. 
Ebosele F. 
Dele-Bashiru T. 
Sissoko M. (C) 
Larouci Y. 
Kayembe E. 
Chakvetadze G. 
Bayo V. 
Hume T. 
Mepham C. 
Baah K. 
Jebbison D. 
Louza I. 
Porteous R. 
Sema K. 
Tikvic A. 
Aleksic M. 
Hjelde L. F. 
Poveda I. 
Rusyn N. 
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