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Current Win Probability
Watford 44.2%
Draw 28.7%
Swansea City 27.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.9%
28.4%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.6%
28%
25.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Watford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Swansea City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Watford than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Swansea City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
42.9%
50%
7.1%
Watford - Swansea City Predictions
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Watford will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%). Swansea will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Swansea (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Swansea (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Selvik E. (G) 2. Ngakia J. 4. Keben K. 25. Abankwah J. 16. Bola M. 10. Louza I. (C) 39. Kayembe E. 42. Maamma O. 20. Doumbia M. 7. Ince T. 9. Kjerrumgaard L.
22. Vigouroux L. (G) 25. Ward J. 5. Cabango B. (C) 15. Burgess C. 14. Tymon J. 4. Fulton J. 35. Ronald 17. Franco G. 6. Stamenic M. 10. Eom J. 9. Vipotnik Z.
Substitutes
34. Baah K. 12. Baxter N. (G) 8. Chakvetadze G. 55. Eames A. 43. Grieves J. 66. Irankunda N. 23. Mendy N. 91. Mfuni S. 18. Semedo V.
31. Cooper O. 20. Cullen L. 1. Fisher A. (G) 30. Galbraith E. 39. Gustavo Nunes 2. Key J. 16. Samuels-Smith I. 43. Watts D. 8. Yalcouye M.
Coaches
Gracia J.
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
7', Burgess C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
53', Louza I. 🟨,
55', 0 - 1, Stamenic M. ⚽, Vipotnik Z. (A),
59', Fulton J. ↓, Cullen L. ↑,
59', Eom J. ↓, Gustavo Nunes ↑,
65', Maamma O. ↓, Chakvetadze G. ↑,
65', Ince T. ↓, Baah K. ↑,
68', Ward J. ↓, Galbraith E. ↑,
69', Franco G. ↓, Yalcouye M. ↑,
76', Doumbia M. ↓, Irankunda N. ↑,
77', Louza I. ↓, Mendy N. ↑,
80', Ronald ↓, Key J. ↑,
80', 0 - 2, Key J. ⚽, Stamenic M. (A),
90+2', Irankunda N. 🟥,
90+2', Cullen L. 🟨,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 8 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Watford won 2.
Watford has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Swansea's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Watford will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Watford: Bove E.
(Heart Problems)
There will not play in Swansea: Idah A.
(Groin Injury)
Inoussa Z.
(Injury)
Samuels-Smith I.
(Groin Injury)
Santos R.
(Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Watford won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Watford won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.3:0.8).
Watch
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Selvik E. (G) 
Ngakia J. 
Keben K. 
Abankwah J. 
Bola M. 
Louza I. (C) 
Doumbia M. 
Kjerrumgaard L. 
Vigouroux L. (G) 
Cabango B. (C) 
Burgess C. 
Fulton J. 
Ronald 
Franco G. 
Stamenic M. 
Eom J. 
Vipotnik Z. 
Baah K. 
Chakvetadze G. 
Mendy N. 
Galbraith E. 
Yalcouye M. 
Gracia J. 
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