Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 26

Date: 14 October 2023, Saturday

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita)


	Blaublitz Akita		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	3.8	3	2.15	Watch
	3.4	2.95	2.05
	3.6	3	2.15	Watch
	3.96	3.06	2.2
	3.6	3	2
	3.78	3.14	2.09	Watch
	3.65	3	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (3.26)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	2.11 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
25.2%

Draw
30.7%

Machida Zelvia
44%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

30.1%

41.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

29.1%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	13.6%	77.3%

Blaublitz Akita - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Blaublitz Akita will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machida Zelvia: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Kakoi K. (G) 22. Takada R. 3. Koyanagi T. 5. Kawano T. 33. Iio R. 8. Hata J. 25. Fujiyama T. 6. Morooka H. 13. Saito R. 29. Saito K. 18. Yoshida I.	42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 47. Matsumoto D. 4. Ikeda J. 39. Vasquez B. 18. Shimoda H. 6. Ota K. 16. Uno Z. 41. Yasui T. 7. Araki S. 9. Numata T.
Substitutes
4. Abe K. 40. Aoki S. 17. Kajiya Y. 14. Mikami Y. 9. Nakamura R. 23. Tanaka H. 1. Yamada G. (G)	34. Fujiwara Y. 19. Inaba S. 30. Nakashima Y. 2. Okuyama M. 22. Onaga H. 23. Popp W. (G) 31. Takazawa Y.
Coaches
Yoshida K.	Kuroda G.

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 14 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Recent matches Blaublitz Akita is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Machida Zelvia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Blaublitz Akita could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Blaublitz Akita won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Blaublitz Akita won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 League
08.10.23	Zweigen Kanazawa - Blaublitz Akita	0:2 ✺
01.10.23	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	1:2 ✺
23.09.23	Blaublitz Akita - Montedio Yamagata	1:1 ✺
16.09.23	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	JEF United Chiba - Blaublitz Akita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWTTL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
08.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	3:3 ✺
01.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Iwaki	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:6 ✺
17.09.23	Fujieda MYFC - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
08.04.23	Machida Zelvia - Blaublitz Akita	0:1
25.09.22	Blaublitz Akita - Machida Zelvia	2:1
29.05.22	Machida Zelvia - Blaublitz Akita	2:0
16.10.21	Blaublitz Akita - Machida Zelvia	0:2
13.06.21	Machida Zelvia - Blaublitz Akita	0:2

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