Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 35

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Fujieda soccer stadium (Fujieda)


	Fujieda MYFC		Machida Zelvia

	1	X	2
	4.5	4	1.73	Watch
	4.5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	4.89	3.97	1.72
	4.75	3.6	1.57
	4.7	3.95	1.69	Watch
	4.5	3.8	1.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.64 ↑ (3.7)	3.85 ↑ (3.72)	1.68 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fujieda MYFC
20.1%

Draw
24.3%

Machida Zelvia
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.6%

25.4%

49%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5%

25.3%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fujieda MYFC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fujieda MYFC's form might have worsened.

Machida Zelvia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Machida Zelvia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fujieda MYFC than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fujieda MYFC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Fujieda MYFC - Machida Zelvia Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kitamura U. C. (G) 5. Ogasawara K. 2. Kawashima N. 3. Suzuki S. 22. Hisatomi R. 26. Nishiya K. 7. Mizuno T. 27. Enomoto K. 8. Iwabuchi R. 10. Yokoyama A. 28. Yamura K.	42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 2. Okuyama M. 27. Hirakawa Y. 33. Matsui R. 41. Yasui T. 9. Numata T. 25. Fujio S. 15. Duke M.
Substitutes
11. Anderson Chaves 50. Asakura R. 17. Hirao K. 49. Nagata K. 24. Nakagawa S. 47. Tanaka H. 31. Ueda T. (G)	7. Araki S. 4. Ikeda J. 30. Nakashima Y. 6. Ota K. 23. Popp W. (G) 18. Shimoda H. 39. Vasquez B.
Coaches
Sudo D.	Kuroda G.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League).

Fujieda MYFC is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fujieda MYFC could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Fujieda MYFC have a series of guest games.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Fujieda MYFC won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fujieda MYFC
Japan J2 League
10.09.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Fujieda MYFC	0:2 ✺
03.09.23	Tochigi - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
19.08.23	JEF United Chiba - Fujieda MYFC	3:2 ✺
12.08.23	Oita Trinita - Fujieda MYFC	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Fujieda MYFC - Montedio Yamagata	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
09.09.23	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata	5:0 ✺
19.08.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia	3:2 ✺
12.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
02.04.23	Machida Zelvia - Fujieda MYFC	1:0

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