Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 38

Date: 8 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Referee: Sendachi K. (Jpn)


	Machida Zelvia		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.3	3.8
	1.8	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.83	3.7	4.56
	1.73	3.5	4
	1.79	3.66	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.67)	3.54 ↓ (3.69)	4.2 ↓ (4.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
51.7%

Draw
26.2%

Ventforet Kofu
22.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.4%

25%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

26.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

Ventforet Kofu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Popp W. (G) 2. Okuyama M. 14. Jang M. 34. Fujiwara Y. 22. Onaga H. 27. Hirakawa Y. 16. Uno Z. 18. Shimoda H. 7. Araki S. 25. Fujio S. 15. Duke M.	21. Shibuya T. (G) 2. Matsuda R. 49. Inoue S. 5. Hasukawa S. 13. Miura S. 24. Matsumoto N. 71. Nakamura R. 19. Miyazaki J. 15. Iijima R. 10. Hasegawa M. 30. Cristiano
Substitutes
42. Fukui K. (G) 19. Inaba S. 9. Numata T. 6. Ota K. 43. Suzuki J. 39. Vasquez B. 41. Yasui T.	77. Getulio 11. Matsumoto K. 23. Sekiguchi M. 17. Shinada M. 8. Taketomi K. 31. Woud M. (G) 4. Yamamoto H.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Shinoda Y.

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 2.

Recent matches Machida Zelvia is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kofu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Machida Zelvia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
01.10.23	Machida Zelvia - Iwaki	2:3 ✺
23.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:6 ✺
17.09.23	Fujieda MYFC - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWTLT
- Ventforet Kofu
AFC Champions League
04.10.23	Ventforet Kofu - Buriram United	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
30.09.23	Ventforet Kofu - Mito HollyHock	2:1 ✺
24.09.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
AFC Champions League
20.09.23	Melbourne City - Ventforet Kofu	0:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
15.09.23	Ventforet Kofu - Tokyo Verdy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
22.04.23	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	1:0
19.10.22	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	1:2
23.04.22	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	1:0
29.08.21	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	3:0
27.03.21	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	0:1
25.10.20	Ventforet Kofu - Machida Zelvia	2:1
23.02.20	Machida Zelvia - Ventforet Kofu	0:0

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