Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 34

Date: 9 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)


	Machida Zelvia		Tochigi

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	5	Watch
	1.65	3.5	5
	1.88	3.32	4.96
	1.73	3.1	4.4
	1.82	3.38	4.7	Watch
	1.8	3.25	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.49)	3.33 ↓ (3.9)	4.79 ↓ (5.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
52.4%

Draw
28.1%

Tochigi
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.6%

23.1%

16.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

22.4%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machida Zelvia's form might have worsened.

Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Tochigi Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Machida Zelvia will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 4. Ikeda J. 22. Onaga H. 33. Matsui R. 18. Shimoda H. 39. Vasquez B. 10. Takahashi D. 41. Yasui T. 29. Ademilson	41. Fujita K. (G) 23. Fukushima H. 16. Hiramatsu W. 6. Omori S. 31. Ishida R. 7. Nishiya Y. 24. Kanbe K. 30. Fukumori K. 32. Miyazaki K. 19. Oshima K. 99. Ismaila O.
Substitutes
7. Araki S. 34. Fujiwara Y. 30. Nakashima Y. 9. Numata T. 2. Okuyama M. 23. Popp W. (G) 16. Uno Z.	1. Kawata S. (G) 39. Leandro Pereira 15. Okazaki R. 4. Sato S. 8. Takahagi Y. 29. Yano K. 21. Yoshida T.
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Tokisaki Y.

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 0.

Machida Zelvia is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tochigi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Machida Zelvia is a favorite.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 6-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
03.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata	5:0 ✺
19.08.23	Shimizu S-Pulse - Machida Zelvia	3:2 ✺
12.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Júbilo Iwata	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Fagiano Okayama - Machida Zelvia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TWLWW
- Tochigi SC
Japan J2 League
03.09.23	Tochigi - Fujieda MYFC	2:0 ✺
26.08.23	Tochigi - Mito HollyHock	2:2 ✺
19.08.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Tochigi	1:2 ✺
13.08.23	Tochigi - Tokushima Vortis	2:2 ✺
06.08.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
18.06.23	Tochigi - Machida Zelvia	1:1
09.10.22	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi	0:1
25.05.22	Tochigi - Machida Zelvia	1:0
24.10.21	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi	0:0
03.07.21	Tochigi - Machida Zelvia	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
09.06.21	Tochigi - Machida Zelvia	2:0
Japan J2 League
27.09.20	Tochigi - Machida Zelvia	2:0

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