Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 37

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday

Location: Machida GION Stadium (Machida)

Referee: Kakinuma T. (Jpn)


	Machida Zelvia		Iwaki

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.3	3.3	Watch
	2.13	3.4	3.69
	2.1	3.1	3.25
	2.1	3.4	3.44	Watch
	2.11	3.3	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↑ (1.6)	3.3 ↓ (3.65)	3.35 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Machida Zelvia
44.1%

Draw
28.2%

Iwaki
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

25.3%

16.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25%

16.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Machida Zelvia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Machida Zelvia's form might have worsened.

Iwaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Iwaki's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Machida Zelvia than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Machida Zelvia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Iwaki than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Iwaki, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	11.1%	0%

Machida Zelvia - Iwaki Predictions

Users Predictions: Machida Zelvia will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. Fukui K. (G) 43. Suzuki J. 14. Jang M. 4. Ikeda J. 22. Onaga H. 27. Hirakawa Y. 33. Matsui R. 41. Yasui T. 9. Numata T. 25. Fujio S. 15. Duke M.	31. Shikano S. (G) 6. Miyamoto E. 4. Ieizumi R. 3. Endo R. 24. Yamashita Y. 33. Shimoda Y. 11. Arita R. 14. Yamaguchi D. 19. Iwabuchi H. 17. Tanimura K. 18. Yoshizawa S.
Substitutes
7. Araki S. 34. Fujiwara Y. 30. Nakashima Y. 2. Okuyama M. 23. Popp W. (G) 18. Shimoda H. 39. Vasquez B.	35. Egawa G. 2. Ishida Y. 13. Kaburaki M. 27. Machado da Silva N. H. 20. Nagai S. 7. Sugiyama R. 21. Takagiwa T. (G)
Coaches
Kuroda G.	Tamura Y.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 19).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Machida Zelvia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Machida Zelvia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Machida Zelvia
Japan J2 League
23.09.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Machida Zelvia	0:6 ✺
17.09.23	Fujieda MYFC - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
09.09.23	Machida Zelvia - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Machida Zelvia	0:0 ✺
26.08.23	Machida Zelvia - Montedio Yamagata	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WTLTW
- Iwaki FC
Japan J2 League
23.09.23	Iwaki - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
17.09.23	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Iwaki	1:0 ✺
10.09.23	Tokushima Vortis - Iwaki	2:0 ✺
03.09.23	Iwaki - Fagiano Okayama	1:2 ✺
27.08.23	Roasso Kumamoto - Iwaki	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
26.03.23	Iwaki - Machida Zelvia	0:1

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