The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 23.9%
Draw 27.9%
Red Bull Bragantino 48.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
29.9%
38.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
29.6%
38.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chapecoense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Chapecoense's form might have worsened.
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Red Bull Bragantino's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Chapecoense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-9.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Red Bull Bragantino, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
8.3%
75%
Chapecoense - Red Bull Bragantino Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 9 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 50.5% – 99.5%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
98. Anderson (G) 15. Rafael Thyere 33. Bruno Leonardo 25. Victor Caetano 26. Everton 27. Camilo Reijers (C) 5. Joao Vitor 91. Bruno Pacheco 97. Enio 11. Bolasie Y. 7. Marcinho
18. Tiago Volpi (G) 14. Pedro Henrique 4. Alix Vinicius 16. Gustavo Marques (C) 51. Caue Nascimento 15. Sosa I. 6. Gabriel 32. Herrera J. 8. Eduardo Sasha 21. Lucas Barbosa 9. Pitta I.
Substitutes
37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto 22. Higor Meritao 77. Italo 20. Jean Carlos 4. Joao Paulo 2. Marcos Vinicius 31. Mauricio Garcez 18. Neto Pessoa 99. Rafael Carvalheira 1. Rafael Santos (G) 17. Vinicius Balieiro
46. Breno 1. Cleiton (G) 7. Eric Ramires 5. Fabinho 11. Fernando Santos 22. Gustavo Neves 56. Gustavo Reis (G) 34. Hurtado A. 57. Marcelinho 20. Rodriguinho 12. Vanderlan 17. Vinicinho
Coaches
Fabio Matias
Vagner Mancini
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Enio 🟨,
19', Rafael Thyere ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
23', 1 - 0, Bolasie Y. ⚽, Bruno Pacheco (A),
30', Caue Nascimento 🟨,
41', 1 - 1, Gabriel ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
68', Sosa I. ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Gustavo Neves (A),
75', Everton ↓, Marcos Vinicius ↑,
75', Marcinho ↓, Italo ↑,
75', Victor Caetano ↓, Giovanni Augusto ↑,
76', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Fernando Santos ↑,
84', Joao Vitor ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
84', Caue Nascimento ↓, Breno ↑,
85', Herrera J. ↓, Eric Ramires ↑,
86', Bruno Leonardo 🟨,
90+5', Eric Ramires 🟨,
Preview
The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
Recent form of Chapecoense has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
RB Bragantino has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
RB Bragantino may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, RB Bragantino has had a series of home games.
RB Bragantino will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Chapecoense: Eduardo Doma
(Yellow Cards)
Eduardo Doma
(Red Card)
Giovanni Augusto
(Hamstring Injury)
Robert Conceicao
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in RB Bragantino: Davi Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Eduardo Santos
(Hamstring Injury)
Fabricio
(Ankle Injury)
Juninho Capixaba
(Yellow Cards)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Chapecoense: Bruno Matias
(Knee Injury)
Italo
(Injury)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
11
Bragantino
29
10
7
12
34:33
1
37
20
Chapecoense-SC
28
3
9
16
29:57
-28
18
Last Results with these Odds
Chapecoense - the odds 2.88 are the expected chance of winning is 32.03%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
Ecuador
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Anderson (G) 
Bolasie Y. 
Sosa I. 
Herrera J. 
Pitta I. 
Hurtado A. 
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