Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 13

Date: 8 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Silva D. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5


	Boavista		Farense

	1	X	2
	2.5	3	3	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.95
	2.5	3.1	3	Watch
	2.52	3.06	3.23
	2.48	3.03	3.16	Watch
	2.45	3.1	3	Watch
	2.45	3.16	3.05	Watch
	2.5	3.1	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↑ (2.47)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.05 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
38.2%

Draw
30.7%

Farense
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.3%

29%

32.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3%

29%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70%	20%	10%

Boavista - Farense Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Farense will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boavista: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 20. Ferreira F. 26. Abascal R. 25. Dabo A. 7. Agra S. 10. Reisinho M. 24. Perez S. (C) 70. Onyemaechi B. 16. Silva J. 9. Bozenik R.	33. Velho R. (G) 44. Lucas Africo 29. Claudio Falcao 3. Moreno M. 28. Pastor 93. Menino M. 6. Neto 2. Paulo Victor 77. Matias M. (C) 14. Poveda D. 7. Balde E.
Substitutes
2. Camara I. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 35. Miguel G. 17. Namora M. 88. Ribeiro M. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G) 18. Vukotic I.	8. Barbosa R. 11. Bermejo A. 23. Canizares L. (G) 71. Jaiminho 4. Jorge A. 79. Merghem M. 34. Raul Silva 70. Rivaldo 50. Seruca A.
Coaches
Bacci C.	Marreco T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Matias M. ⚽,
65', Dabo A. ↓, Vukotic I. ↑,
65', Gomes P. ↓, Miguel G. ↑,
70', Matias M. ↓, Merghem M. ↑,
82', Poveda D. ↓, Jaiminho ↑,
82', Menino M. ↓, Seruca A. ↑,
85', Vukotic I. 🟨,
89', Ferreira F. ↓, Namora M. ↑,
89', Lucas Africo 🟨,
90+1', Balde E. ↓, Rivaldo ↑,
90+4', Claudio Falcao 🟨,
90+4', Vukotic I. 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 1, Reisinho M. (Pen),
90+7', Agra S. 🟨,
90+7', Paulo Victor 🟨,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2).

Boavista is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Farense is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Farense: Soares F. (Injury) Tomane (Injury)

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1:6 (average 0.3:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
30.11.24	Nacional - Boavista	0:0 ✺
09.11.24	Boavista - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Boavista - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Varzim - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 TLWLL
- SC Farense
Liga Portugal
29.11.24	Farense - Estrela da Amadora	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.11.24	Arouca - Farense	1:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
09.11.24	Casa Pia - Farense	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Farense - Benfica	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Braga - Farense	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
05.04.24	Farense - Boavista	2:0
12.11.23	Boavista - Farense	1:3
21.03.21	Boavista - Farense	0:1

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