Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 11

Date: 9 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio do Bessa Século XXI (Porto)

Referee: Goncalves J. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sport TV Africa, ZAP
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Sportklub 4
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
North-macedonia	Sportklub 4
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Slovenia	SportKlub 4
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4


	Boavista		Rio Ave

	1	X	2
	2.8	3.2	2.63	Watch
	2.8	3	2.6
	2.85	3.1	2.6	Watch
	2.92	3.16	2.67
	2.88	3.16	2.59	Watch
	2.8	3.2	2.5	Watch
	2.83	3.22	2.56	Watch
	2.85	3.1	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.84)	3.14 ↓ (3.17)	2.59 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boavista
33.3%

Draw
30.1%

Rio Ave
36.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

30%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.3%

30.2%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rio Ave has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The ML Model estimate for Boavista aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rio Ave than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
38.5%	61.5%	0%

Boavista - Rio Ave Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 61.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35% – 88%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cesar (G) 35. Miguel G. 26. Abascal R. 20. Ferreira F. 70. Onyemaechi B. 18. Vukotic I. 24. Perez S. (C) 10. Reisinho M. 7. Agra S. 9. Bozenik R. 16. Silva J.	1. Miszta C. (G) 17. Vrousai M. 4. William P. 33. Santos A. (C) 98. Richards O. 34. Tiknaz D. E. 76. Neto M. 19. Kiko Bondoso 11. Morais T. 9. Clayton 80. Pohlmann O.
Substitutes
71. Barros J. 2. Camara I. 25. Dabo A. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 17. Namora M. 88. Ribeiro M. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G)	16. Aguilera Zamora B. 10. Amine 77. Fabio Ronaldo 22. Hassan A. 18. Jhonatan (G) 27. Medina T. 6. Novais J. 42. Pantalon R. 20. Tome J.
Coaches
Bacci C.	Petit

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', Agra S. 🟨,
5', 0 - 1, Clayton ⚽, Pohlmann O. (A),
7', Neto M. 🟨,
10', Clayton 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Morais T. ↓, Fabio Ronaldo ↑,
55', Neto M. ↓, Novais J. ↑,
60', Abascal R. 🟨,
65', Clayton ↓, Hassan A. ↑,
69', Miguel G. ↓, Machado T. ↑,
71', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Aguilera Zamora B. ↑,
71', Pohlmann O. ↓, Amine ↑,
76', 0 - 2, Aguilera Zamora B. ⚽,
77', Perez S. 🟨,
78', Tiknaz D. E. 🟥,
78', Perez S. 🟥,
78', Jhonatan 🟨,
78', Amine 🟥,
86', Vukotic I. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
90+3', Agra S. ↓, Barros J. ↑,
90+3', Ferreira F. ↓, Dabo A. ↑,
90+4', Camara I. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 13 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1.

Boavista is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Rio Ave is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Boavista have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in Boavista: Gomes P. (Yellow Cards) Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury) Namora M. (Injury)

There will not play in Rio Ave: Panzo J. (Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6:12 (average 1:2).

Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:5 (average 2:1.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
02.11.24	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Boavista - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Varzim - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Santa Clara - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLTL
- Rio Ave FC
Liga Portugal
02.11.24	Rio Ave - Casa Pia	2:2 ✺
27.10.24	Benfica - Rio Ave	5:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Atlético CP - Rio Ave	1:3 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
04.10.24	Rio Ave - Famalicão	1:1 ✺
29.09.24	Braga - Rio Ave	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
30.03.24	Boavista - Rio Ave	0:0
05.11.23	Rio Ave - Boavista	2:0
22.04.23	Boavista - Rio Ave	3:2
06.11.22	Rio Ave - Boavista	1:0
Taça de Portugal
17.10.21	Rio Ave - Boavista	4:0
Liga Portugal
10.04.21	Boavista - Rio Ave	3:3

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