Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 12

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio da Madeira (Funchal)

Referee: Vasilica I. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Portugal	Sport TV1
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4


	Nacional		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.33	Watch
	1.83	3.5	4.2
	1.85	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.87	3.6	4.51
	1.84	3.54	4.45	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.85	3.54	4.34	Watch
	1.85	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (1.9)	3.54 ↑ (3.45)	4.35 ↑ (4.09)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nacional
51.5%

Draw
26.8%

Boavista
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.6%

27.4%

23.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4%

26.4%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	41.2%	5.9%

Nacional - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Boavista will win (votes: 1 - 5.9%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nacional: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Lucas Franca (G) 22. Garcia 38. Ze Vitor 4. Ulisses 7. Macedo R. 10. Esteves L. (C) 88. Matheus Dias 15. Labidi C. 5. Jose Gomes 9. Butzke A. 99. Dudu	1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 20. Ferreira F. 26. Abascal R. (C) 70. Onyemaechi B. 10. Reisinho M. 18. Vukotic I. 2. Camara I. 7. Agra S. 16. Silva J. 9. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
70. Appiah A. 2. Aurelio J. 17. Daniel Penha 1. Encarnacao R. (G) 23. Isaac 34. Leo Santos 27. Soumare D. 18. Sousa A. 72. Tiago Reis	71. Barros J. 25. Dabo A. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 35. Miguel G. 17. Namora M. 88. Ribeiro M. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G)
Coaches
Margarido T.	Bacci C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Matheus Dias 🟨,
20', Gomes P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Labidi C. ↓, Daniel Penha ↑,
46', Matheus Dias ↓, Soumare D. ↑,
47', Silva J. 🟨,
54', Vukotic I. ↓, Miguel G. ↑,
78', Camara I. ↓, Dabo A. ↑,
78', Butzke A. ↓, Tiago Reis ↑,
90+3', Agra S. ↓, Ribeiro M. ↑,

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 14).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Recently Nacional have a series of guest games.

In this match Nacional is a favorite.

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury) Perez S. (Red Card)

Last 1 head-to-head matches Nacional won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atletico Nacional
Liga Portugal
10.11.24	Estrela da Amadora - Nacional	2:0 ✺
04.11.24	Nacional - Santa Clara	2:0 ✺
Portuguese League Cup
29.10.24	Sporting Lisbon - Nacional	3:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
25.10.24	Casa Pia - Nacional	1:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Leiria - Nacional	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LWLLL
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
09.11.24	Boavista - Rio Ave	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:2 ✺
26.10.24	Boavista - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Varzim - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
09.02.21	Boavista - Nacional	0:1

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