Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga Portugal - Round 10

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Estádio Cidade de Barcelos (Barcelos)

Referee: Guelho S. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Croatia	SportKlub
Finland	Veikkaus TV
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	AntenaPLAY
Slovenia	Sportklub
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3


	Gil Vicente		Boavista

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	5	Watch
	1.7	3.5	5
	1.75	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.56	5.28
	1.81	3.55	4.61	Watch
	1.7	3.6	4.8	Watch
	1.75	3.65	4.88	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.73)	3.58 ↓ (3.65)	4.88 ↓ (5.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gil Vicente
54.2%

Draw
26.4%

Boavista
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55%

26%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.2%

18.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gil Vicente has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gil Vicente than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	9.5%	14.3%

Gil Vicente - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Gil Vicente will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Boavista will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gil Vicente: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
42. da Silva Ventura A. (G) 45. Mawesi J. 39. Buatu J. 26. Ruben (C) 88. Kazu 19. Garcia S. 24. Gbane M. 10. Fujimoto K. 77. Mboula J. 9. Aguirre J. 71. Correia F.	1. Cesar (G) 15. Gomes P. 26. Abascal R. 20. Ferreira F. 70. Onyemaechi B. 16. Silva J. 18. Vukotic I. 24. Perez S. (C) 10. Reisinho M. 7. Agra S. 9. Bozenik R.
Substitutes
99. Araujo B. (G) 6. Castillo J. 20. Caue 11. Collado D. 4. Elimbi M. G. 18. Joao Teixeira 90. Pablo 7. Toure T. 2. Ze Carlos	71. Barros J. 2. Camara I. 25. Dabo A. 23. Machado T. 73. Marques A. 35. Miguel G. 88. Ribeiro M. 75. Silva T. 76. Sousa T. (G)
Coaches
Pinheiro B.	Bacci C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
37', Gomes P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', Garcia S. 🟨,
48', 0 - 1, Vukotic I. ⚽,
51', 0 - 2, Silva J. ⚽,
54', Mboula J. ↓, Toure T. ↑,
69', Aguirre J. ↓, Caue ↑,
69', Fujimoto K. ↓, Pablo ↑,
72', 1 - 2, Caue ⚽,
73', Agra S. 🟨,
75', Gomes P. ↓, Camara I. ↑,
78', Perez S. ↓, Ribeiro M. ↑,
81', Garcia S. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
83', Correia F. 🟨,
86', Vukotic I. ↓, Miguel G. ↑,
86', Ferreira F. ↓, Dabo A. ↑,
90', Caue 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 2.

Recent matches Gil Vicente is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boavista has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boavista could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Gil Vicente is a favorite.

There will not play in Gil Vicente: Caseres F. (Knee Injury) Sithole S. (Injury)

There will not play in Boavista: Joao Goncalves (Knee Injury) Moraes Pires L. H. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Boavista: Namora M. (Injury)

Last 8 head-to-head matches Gil Vicente won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:7 (average 1.5:0.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Gil Vicente won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:3 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gil Vicente
Liga Portugal
25.10.24	Santa Clara - Gil Vicente	2:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
19.10.24	Belenenses - Gil Vicente	0:2 ✺
Liga Portugal
05.10.24	Gil Vicente - Estrela da Amadora	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Benfica - Gil Vicente	5:1 ✺
22.09.24	Gil Vicente - Casa Pia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWWLT
- Boavista FC
Liga Portugal
26.10.24	Boavista - Moreirense	0:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
20.10.24	Varzim - Boavista	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.10.24	Vitoria Guimarães - Boavista	2:2 ✺
29.09.24	Santa Clara - Boavista	1:0 ✺
23.09.24	Boavista - Benfica	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
04.05.24	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:1
30.12.23	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:0
12.05.23	Gil Vicente - Boavista	3:1
08.01.23	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:0
15.01.22	Boavista - Gil Vicente	1:1
09.08.21	Gil Vicente - Boavista	3:0
19.05.21	Gil Vicente - Boavista	1:2

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