The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moreirense 31.8%
Draw 33.2%
Santa Clara 35%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.2%
31.6%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.8%
32%
33.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
43.7%
31.2%
25%
Moreirense - Santa Clara Predictions
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 7 - 43.8%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for Moreirense: 19.5% – 68.1%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Moreirense will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Ferreira A. (G) 76. Pinto D. (C) 66. Batista G. 26. Maracas 17. Martinez A. 21. Rodri 8. Stjepanovic M. 11. Alanzinho 2. Travassos 9. Semedo L. 10. Kiko Bondoso
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 21. Venancio F. 13. Rocha L. 23. Lima S. 2. Diogo Calila 35. Serginho 77. Gustavo Klismahn 8. Ferreira P. 42. Lucas Soares 70. Vinicius Lopes 10. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
25. Assis A. 20. Bernardo 30. Gower J. 27. Kiko 78. Landerson 16. Mika (G) 71. Santos L. 7. Teguia C. 99. Yan Maranhao
11. Brenner 80. Duarte T. 85. Franco Z. 12. Neneca (G) 4. Pacheco P. 64. Paulo Victor 94. Silva H. 65. Tavares J. 49. Welinton Torrao
Coaches
Costa V.
Pires L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Stjepanovic M. 🟨,
34', Maracas 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Semedo L. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
63', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
68', Vinicius Lopes 🟨,
73', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
73', Serginho ↓, Brenner ↑,
83', Rodri ↓, Bernardo ↑,
83', Martinez A. ↓, Kiko ↑,
84', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Tavares J. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Maracas ⚽, Travassos (A),
90', Rocha L. 🟨,
90+2', Alanzinho ↓, Gower J. ↑,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 2.
Moreirense has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Santa Clara is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Recently, Santa Clara has had a series of home games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Moreirense: Sousa V.
(Leg Injury)
There are questionable in Moreirense: Ofori L.
(Inactive)
There are questionable in Santa Clara: MT
(Injury)
Silva H.
(Injury)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).
Portugal
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Ferreira A. (G) 
Batista G. 
Maracas 
Martinez A. 
Stjepanovic M. 
Diogo Calila 
Gower J. 
Tavares J. 
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