The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Estrela da Amadora 23.1%
Draw 31.6%
Santa Clara 45.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.6%
30.8%
40.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.5%
30.7%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela da Amadora's form might have worsened.
Santa Clara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Estrela da Amadora, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Santa Clara than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
25%
41.7%
33.3%
Estrela da Amadora - Santa Clara Predictions
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Santa Clara will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8% – 69.6%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.25 - Estrela (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
DC - Estrela (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Estrela (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Santa Clara (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
40. Ribeiro R. (G) 30. Luan Patrick 14. Bernardo Schappo 83. Otavio 17. Encada J. 39. Doue G. 8. Robinho 24. Langa B. 99. Marcus A. 7. Antonetti L. 11. Jovane (C)
1. Gabriel Batista (C) 42. Lucas Soares 21. Venancio F. 23. Lima S. 64. Paulo Victor 35. Serginho 77. Gustavo Klismahn 8. Ferreira P. 70. Vinicius Lopes 29. Wendell 10. Gabriel Silva
Substitutes
26. Brahimi B. 22. Grilo D. (G) 2. Kalley Y. 4. Lekovic S. 28. Moustier T. 9. Rodrigo Pinho 63. Sola A. 10. Stoica I. 20. van Hooijdonk S.
11. Brenner 37. Darlan 2. Diogo Calila 5. Guilherme Romao 12. Neneca (G) 39. Paciencia G. 94. Silva H. 65. Tavares J. 49. Welinton Torrao
Coaches
Nuno J.
Petit
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Doue G. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Langa B. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
46', Antonetti L. ↓, van Hooijdonk S. ↑,
50', Gabriel Silva 🟨,
59', 1 - 0, Jovane ⚽, Encada J. (A),
64', Wendell ↓, Paciencia G. ↑,
65', Vinicius Lopes ↓, Brenner ↑,
69', Robinho ↓, Sola A. ↑,
69', Jovane ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
77', Paulo Victor ↓, Guilherme Romao ↑,
77', Gustavo Klismahn ↓, Welinton Torrao ↑,
79', Otavio 🟨,
80', Doue G. ↓, Kalley Y. ↑,
82', Stoica I. 🟨,
87', Lucas Soares ↓, Diogo Calila ↑,
90+5', Ribeiro R. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
In recent matches, Estrela has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Santa Clara is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Santa Clara is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Estrela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Finland
Portugal
Ukraine
Uruguay
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Ribeiro R. (G) 
Encada J. 
Doue G. 
Langa B. 
Marcus A. 
Antonetti L. 
Jovane (C) 
Venancio F. 
Brahimi B. 
Kalley Y. 
Lekovic S. 
Sola A. 
Stoica I. 
van Hooijdonk S. 
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