Match Info

Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 12

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Sporty TV, StarTimes App
Argentina	TNT Sports
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Disney+
Chile	Disney+
China	K-Ball
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	Como TV, SI Solo Calcio, Sport Italia, Sportitalia, Sportitalia Solo Calcio
Mexico	Disney+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
South-america	ESPN South
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Fanatiz
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
World	Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional


	Boca Juniors		Barracas Central

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	8	Watch
	1.44	4.1	7.25
	1.47	4.05	7.2	Watch
	1.49	3.98	7.82	Watch
	1.49	4.13	8.61	Watch
	1.47	4.05	7.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.66)	4.05 ↑ (3.74)	7.68 ↑ (5.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Network on TV: TyC Sports

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
64.4%

Draw
23.3%

Barracas Central
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

25.3%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

24.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Barracas Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barracas Central might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boca Juniors that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barracas Central than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	6.2%	12.5%

Boca Juniors - Barracas Central Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Boca Juniors (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boca Juniors will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 9 - 90%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Marchesin A. (G) 42. Blondel L. 5. Battaglia R. 6. Rojo M. 23. Blanco L. 8. Carlos Palacios 30. Belmonte T. 43. Delgado M. 7. Zeballos E. 10. Cavani E. (C) 9. Gimenez M.	28. Ledesma M. (G) 33. Mater F. 14. Jappert K. 32. Tobio F. 15. Rak Y. 6. Insua R. 19. Porra T. 5. Miloc D. 23. Tapia I. (C) 11. Ruiz J. 7. Bruera F.
Substitutes
17. Advincula L. 33. Aguirre B. 24. Barinaga J. 12. Brey L. (G) 32. Costa A. 40. Di Lollo L. 19. Martegani A. 16. Miguel Merentiel 14. Miramon I. 3. Saracchi M. 20. Velasco A. 22. Zenon K.	10. Barrios N. 13. Barrios R. 20. Candia J. 2. Capraro N. 31. Demartini N. 24. Duarte M. 16. Guaraz I. A. 30. Mino M. (G) 9. Morales G. 35. Perugini T. 79. Puig M. 8. Rosane S.
Coaches
Gago F.	Insua R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Gimenez M. 🟨,
40', 1 - 0, Battaglia R. ⚽, Blanco L. (A),
43', Insua R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Porra T. ↓, Candia J. ↑,
59', Tapia I. ↓, Barrios N. ↑,
59', Ruiz J. ↓, Barrios R. ↑,
59', Mater F. ↓, Duarte M. ↑,
64', Blondel L. ↓, Advincula L. ↑,
64', Zeballos E. ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
75', Gimenez M. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
77', Bruera F. ↓, Morales G. ↑,
78', Rojo M. 🟨,
86', Cavani E. ↓, Aguirre B. ↑,
86', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Barracas Central could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Boca Juniors is the unquestionable favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Carlos Palacios (Inactive) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Lema C. (Muscle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Barracas Central: Irazoque A. (Knee Injury) Kruger F. (Knee Injury) Ruiz J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Boca Juniors: Herrera A. (Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 11:3 (average 2.2:0.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
30.03.25	Newells Old Boys - Boca Juniors	2:0 ✺
16.03.25	Boca Juniors - Defensa y Justicia	4:0 ✺
07.03.25	Central Córdoba - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
28.02.25	Boca Juniors - Rosario Central	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
25.02.25	Boca Juniors - Alianza Lima	2:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWWWL
- Barracas Central
Argentinian Liga Profesional
27.03.25	Barracas Central - Estudiantes La Plata	2:1 ✺
16.03.25	Belgrano - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Sarmiento de Junín - Barracas Central	1:1 ✺
03.03.25	Barracas Central - Godoy Cruz	1:2 ✺
24.02.25	Barracas Central - Newells Old Boys	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 WTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.08.24	Boca Juniors - Barracas Central	1:1
Copa Argentina
20.07.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	0:3
19.06.22	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	1:3
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
30.04.22	Boca Juniors - Barracas Central	2:0

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