Match Info

ARGENTINA: LIGA PROFESIONAL - ROUND 10

Date: 9 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Rey Hilfer L. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Boca Juniors		Colón

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.8	3.55	4.6
	1.79	3.7	4.82
	1.8	3.72	4.3	Watch
	1.78	3.6	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.61)	3.63 ↑ (3.3)	4.56 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
53.1%

Draw
26.1%

Colón
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

27.2%

17.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

26.8%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Colón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colón than the current prediction. (-4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	9.1%	9.1%

Boca Juniors - Colón Predictions

Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Boca Juniors has the most likely position - 2 (9.2%), project points - 43, currently - 14, a very small chance of win league (4%).

Colón has the most likely position - 28 (11.03%), project points - 28, currently - 6, a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 42, very small importance 8, small match rating 25. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 4.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

There will not play in Boca Juniors: Rojo M. (Injury) Zeballos E. (Injury)

There will not play in Colón: Farias F. (Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 15-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Copa Libertadores
06.04.23	Monagas - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
01.04.23	Barracas Central - Boca Juniors	0:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
25.03.23	Boca Juniors - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
19.03.23	Boca Juniors - Instituto Córdoba	2:3 ✺
12.03.23	Banfield - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 TWWLL
- CA Colón
Argentinian Liga Profesional
02.04.23	Colón - Atlético Tucumán	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	Independiente - Colón	2:2 ✺
13.03.23	Colón - Newells Old Boys	1:1 ✺
04.03.23	Gimnasia La Plata - Colón	0:0 ✺
26.02.23	Colón - Huracán Buenos Aires	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TTTTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Liga Profesional
04.09.22	Colón - Boca Juniors	1:2
Argentinian Copa de la Liga Profesional
13.02.22	Boca Juniors - Colón	1:1
Argentinian Liga Profesional
26.09.21	Boca Juniors - Colón	1:0
28.02.20	Colón - Boca Juniors	0:4
30.09.18	Boca Juniors - Colón	3:1
27.01.18	Boca Juniors - Colón	2:0
18.12.16	Boca Juniors - Colón	4:1

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