Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alberto J. Armando (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DGO
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1, Moja TV
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Georgia	Silk Universal
Indonesia	Mola TV
Israel	Sport 2
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 5 Norte
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Poland	Polsat Sport 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Venezuela	ESPN
World	DirecTV Sports, Disney+, Fanatiz


	Boca Juniors		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.25	4.75	Watch
	1.85	3.2	4.6
	1.85	3.25	4.5	Watch
	1.88	3.19	5.25
	1.96	3.21	4.36	Watch
	1.8	3.2	4.5	Watch
	1.83	3.3	4.66	Watch
	1.83	3.2	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (3.5)	3.23 ↓ (3.3)	4.67 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boca Juniors
50.7%

Draw
29.2%

Independiente del Valle
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.8%

28.5%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boca Juniors's performance.

Independiente del Valle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-24.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Independiente del Valle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	15.4%	7.7%

Boca Juniors - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Ind del Valle will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 54% – 99.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Romero S. (G) 23. Blanco L. 6. Rojo M. (C) 2. Lema C. 17. Advincula L. 50. Ceballos J. 43. Delgado M. 8. Fernandez G. 47. Saralegui J. 10. Cavani E. 16. Miguel Merentiel	1. Ramirez M. (G) 15. Caicedo B. 5. Schunke R. (C) 14. Carabajal M. 4. Landazuri A. 18. Zabala C. 80. Ortiz J. 16. Paez K. 11. Hoyos M. 27. Medina J. 30. Ibarra R.
Substitutes
45. Benitez M. 51. Dalmasso S. 40. Di Lollo L. 18. Fabra F. 13. Garcia J. (G) 48. Gorosito D. 11. Janson L. 14. Langoni L. 34. Mendia M. 20. Ramirez J. 39. Taborda V. 7. Zeballos E.	32. Angulo A. 50. Arroyo K. 13. Fernandez M. 53. Lerma Soliz J. A. 40. Loor C. (G) 9. Lopez R. 7. Mercado P. 6. Pombo J. 56. Ruiz E. 10. Sornoza J. 22. Villar G. (G) 2. Zarate L.
Coaches
Martinez D.	Gandolfi J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
34', Lema C. 🟨,
39', 1 - 0, Cavani E. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Schunke R. 🟨,
61', Delgado M. 🟥,
64', Medina J. ↓, Sornoza J. ↑,
72', Landazuri A. ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
72', Paez K. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
72', Ceballos J. ↓, Fabra F. ↑,
81', Hoyos M. 🟨,
82', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Di Lollo L. ↑,
82', Saralegui J. ↓, Benitez M. ↑,
85', Caicedo B. ↓, Arroyo K. ↑,
85', Zabala C. ↓, Lerma Soliz J. A. ↑,
90+5', Cavani E. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,
90+8', Advincula L. 🟨,
90+8', Sornoza J. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-0.

Recent matches Boca Juniors is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Boca Juniors could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Boca Juniors is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Boca Juniors won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional
21.07.24	Defensa y Justicia - Boca Juniors	2:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
17.07.24	Independiente del Valle - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
19.06.24	Boca Juniors - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.06.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TTWWL
- Independiente del Valle
Copa Sudamericana
17.07.24	Independiente del Valle - Boca Juniors	0:0 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.24	Independiente del Valle - Orense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	Independiente del Valle - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.05.24	Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
17.07.24	Independiente del Valle - Boca Juniors	0:0
Copa Libertadores
14.07.16	Boca Juniors - Independiente del Valle	2:3
07.07.16	Independiente del Valle - Boca Juniors	2:1

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