Match Info

SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Sudamericana - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 July 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Banco Guayaquil (Quito)

Referee: Gonzalez F. (Chi)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	ESPN
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Brazil	Claro TV+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
Chile	ESPN
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Indonesia	Mola TV
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV1
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Spain	beIN Sports
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, FuboTV
World	Disney+, Fanatiz


	Independiente del Valle		Boca Juniors

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	7	Watch
	1.68	3.6	5
	1.47	4	7	Watch
	1.5	4.15	7.4
	1.51	4.11	6.91	Watch
	1.4	4.2	7	Watch
	1.46	4.15	7.2	Watch
	2.08	3.25	3.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (2.1)	3.95 ↑ (3.29)	6.37 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independiente del Valle
60.7%

Draw
24.2%

Boca Juniors
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

28.4%

27.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Independiente del Valle's performance.

Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Boca Juniors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.5%	11.8%	11.8%

Independiente del Valle - Boca Juniors Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Ind del Valle will win (votes: 12 - 75%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ind del Valle: 53.8% – 96.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ramirez M. (G) 13. Fernandez M. 14. Carabajal M. 5. Schunke R. 15. Caicedo B. 18. Zabala C. 50. Arroyo K. 80. Ortiz J. 16. Paez K. 30. Ibarra R. 9. Lopez R.	1. Romero S. (G) 17. Advincula L. 40. Di Lollo L. 6. Rojo M. 23. Blanco L. 47. Saralegui J. 45. Benitez M. 43. Delgado M. 11. Janson L. 50. Ceballos J. 16. Miguel Merentiel
Substitutes
32. Angulo A. 11. Hoyos M. 31. Ibarra R. 4. Landazuri A. 53. Lerma Soliz J. A. 27. Medina J. 7. Mercado P. 6. Pombo J. 56. Ruiz E. 10. Sornoza J. 22. Villar G. (G) 2. Zarate L.	51. Dalmasso S. 13. Garcia J. (G) 48. Gorosito D. 14. Langoni L. 34. Mendia M. 52. Molas W. A. 46. Payal J. 20. Ramirez J. 44. Rodriguez I. 3. Saracchi M. 39. Taborda V. 7. Zeballos E.
Coaches
Gandolfi J.	Martinez D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
3', Advincula L. 🟨,
37', Ibarra R. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Arroyo K. ↓, Medina J. ↑,
62', Ceballos J. ↓, Mendia M. ↑,
62', Janson L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
71', Paez K. ↓, Lerma Soliz J. A. ↑,
72', Benitez M. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
78', Ramirez J. 🟨,
82', Ibarra R. ↓, Mercado P. ↑,
82', Lopez R. ↓, Ibarra R. ↑,
82', Zabala C. ↓, Hoyos M. ↑,
86', Saralegui J. ↓, Dalmasso S. ↑,
86', Miguel Merentiel ↓, Langoni L. ↑,

Preview

1st leg.

Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recently Boca Juniors have a series of home games.

In this match Independiente del Valle is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Independiente del Valle to win the game is with odds 1.66.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Independiente del Valle won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Independiente del Valle won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independiente del Valle
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
02.06.24	Independiente del Valle - Orense	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.05.24	Independiente del Valle - Liverpool Montevideo	2:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
25.05.24	Deportivo Macará - Independiente del Valle	0:1 ✺
18.05.24	Independiente del Valle - LDU Quito	1:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
15.05.24	Palmeiras - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWTL
- Boca Juniors
Copa Argentina
19.06.24	Boca Juniors - Almirante Brown	2:1 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
14.06.24	Boca Juniors - Vélez Sársfield	1:0 ✺
02.06.24	Platense - Boca Juniors	1:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.05.24	Boca Juniors - Nacional Potosí	4:0 ✺
Argentinian Liga Profesional
25.05.24	Boca Juniors - Talleres de Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
14.07.16	Boca Juniors - Independiente del Valle	2:3
07.07.16	Independiente del Valle - Boca Juniors	2:1

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