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Bochum - Heidenheim

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Match Info

  • GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 15
  • Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday ๐Ÿ Finished
  • Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum) ๐ŸŒค๏ธ ...
  • Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Bochum Heidenheim
    Bochum Heidenheim
    1 X 2
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.16 ↓
    (2.46)    		 3.61 ↓
    (3.64)    		 3.36 ↑
    (2.78)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Bochum
    44.7%    		Draw
    26.7%    		Heidenheim
    28.6%

    Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
    39.1% 26.4% 34.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation
    38.4% 25.9% 35.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
  • Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bochum's performance.
  • Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bochum that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    67.7% 14.5% 17.7%

    Bochum - Heidenheim Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 42 - 68.9%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 11 - 18%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 57.3% โ€“ 80.5%.
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
    27. GermanyDrewes P. (G)
    14. GermanyOermann T.
    20. UkraineOrdets I.
      5. BrazilBernardo
    15. GermanyPasslack F.
      6. MaliSissoko I.
      8. FranceLosilla A.
    32. GermanyWittek M. (C)
    19. SlovakiaBero M.
    29. GermanyBroschinski M.
    33. GermanyHofmann P.
    		  1. GermanyMuller K. (G)
    23. GermanyTraore O. H.
      6. GermanyMainka P. (C)
      4. GermanySiersleben T.
    19. GermanyFohrenbach J.
      3. GermanySchoppner J.
    39. GermanyDorsch N.
    27. GermanyKeller T.
    10. GermanyWanner P.
    17. AustriaHonsak M.
    18. GermanyPieringer M.
    Substitutes
    18. GermanyBamba S.
      9. NetherlandsBoadu M.
      7. GermanyDaschner L.
    10. Netherlandsde Wit D.
      1. GermanyHorn T. (G)
    11. GermanyKwarteng M.
    41. SwitzerlandLoosli N.
    13. CroatiaMedic J.
    24. GermanyPannewig M.
    		21. GermanyBeck A.
      2. GermanyBusch M.
    31. GermanyConteh S.
    40. GermanyFeller F. (G)
    29. DenmarkKaufmann M.
    20. GermanyKerber L.
      9. GermanySchimmer S.
      8. BrazilScienza L.
    30. GermanyTheuerkauf N.
    Coaches
         GermanyHecking D.
    		     GermanySchmidt F.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (2 - 0)
    • 6', 1 - 0, Broschinski M. ⚽, Sissoko I. (A),
    • 22', Bernardo 🟨,
    • 30', Schoppner J. 🟨,
    • 35', Wanner P. 🟨,
    • 38', 2 - 0, Bero M. ⚽, Oermann T. (A),
    • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
    • 46', Wanner P. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
    • 46', Fohrenbach J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
    • 46', Schoppner J. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
    • 46', Pieringer M. 🟨,
    • 50', Keller T. 🟨,
    • 54', Bero M. 🟨,
    • 60', Keller T. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
    • 73', Kerber L. 🟨,
    • 75', Siersleben T. 🟨,
    • 78', Wittek M. ↓, Medic J. ↑,
    • 78', Honsak M. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
    • 82', Conteh S. 🟨,
    • 85', Sissoko I. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
    • 85', Broschinski M. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
    • 90+2', Hofmann P. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,

    Preview

  • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).
  • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3.
  • Bochum is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
  • Heidenheim has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
  • Bochum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
  • Bochum will have a small advantage in this match.
  • There will not play in Bochum: Riemann M. (Inactive)
  • There will not play in Heidenheim: Gimber B. (Yellow Cards) Niehues J. (Knee Injury)
  • There are questionable in Bochum: Holtmann G. (Muscle Injury)
  • There are questionable in Heidenheim: Maloney L. (Head Injury) Thomalla D. (Illness)
  • Last 17 head-to-head matches Bochum won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:19 (average 1.7:1.1).
  • Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2:0.8).

    • Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - VfL Bochum
    German Bundesliga
    14.12.24 Union Berlin - Bochum 1:1 ✺
    07.12.24 Bochum - Werder Bremen 0:1 ✺
    30.11.24 Augsburg - Bochum 1:0 ✺
    23.11.24 Stuttgart - Bochum 2:0 ✺
    Club Friendly
    14.11.24 Bochum - Den Bosch 2:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3
    TLLLW
    - 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    19.12.24 Heidenheim - St. Gallen 1:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    15.12.24 Heidenheim - Stuttgart 1:3 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    12.12.24 ฤฐstanbul BaลŸakลŸehir - Heidenheim 3:1 ✺
    German Bundesliga
    07.12.24 Bayern Munich - Heidenheim 4:2 ✺
    01.12.24 Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt 0:4 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0
    TLLLL
    Latest Head to Head
    German Bundesliga
    13.04.24 Bochum - Heidenheim 1:1
    26.11.23 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:0
    German 2 Bundesliga
    21.04.21 Heidenheim - Bochum 0:2
    18.12.20 Bochum - Heidenheim 3:0
    16.05.20 Bochum - Heidenheim 3:0
    06.10.19 Heidenheim - Bochum 2:3
    08.03.19 Bochum - Heidenheim 1:0
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - VfL Bochum
    German 2 Bundesliga
    30.10.26 Energie Cottbus - Bochum ✺
    - 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
    German 2 Bundesliga
    31.10.26 Karlsruher - Heidenheim ✺

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