Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 15

Date: 22 December 2024, Sunday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Jablonski S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Heidenheim

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.15	3.5	3.2
	2.15	3.6	3.4	Watch
	2.19	3.55	3.52
	2.17	3.58	3.45	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.2	Watch
	2.15	3.85	3.44	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.46)	3.61 ↓ (3.64)	3.36 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
44.7%

Draw
26.7%

Heidenheim
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

25.9%

35.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bochum's performance.

Heidenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Heidenheim might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bochum that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Heidenheim could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
67.7%	14.5%	17.7%

Bochum - Heidenheim Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 42 - 68.9%). Heidenheim will win (votes: 11 - 18%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 13.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bochum: 57.3% – 80.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 15. Passlack F. 6. Sissoko I. 8. Losilla A. 32. Wittek M. (C) 19. Bero M. 29. Broschinski M. 33. Hofmann P.	1. Muller K. (G) 23. Traore O. H. 6. Mainka P. (C) 4. Siersleben T. 19. Fohrenbach J. 3. Schoppner J. 39. Dorsch N. 27. Keller T. 10. Wanner P. 17. Honsak M. 18. Pieringer M.
Substitutes
18. Bamba S. 9. Boadu M. 7. Daschner L. 10. de Wit D. 1. Horn T. (G) 11. Kwarteng M. 41. Loosli N. 13. Medic J. 24. Pannewig M.	21. Beck A. 2. Busch M. 31. Conteh S. 40. Feller F. (G) 29. Kaufmann M. 20. Kerber L. 9. Schimmer S. 8. Scienza L. 30. Theuerkauf N.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Schmidt F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Broschinski M. ⚽, Sissoko I. (A),
22', Bernardo 🟨,
30', Schoppner J. 🟨,
35', Wanner P. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Bero M. ⚽, Oermann T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Wanner P. ↓, Kaufmann M. ↑,
46', Fohrenbach J. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
46', Schoppner J. ↓, Busch M. ↑,
46', Pieringer M. 🟨,
50', Keller T. 🟨,
54', Bero M. 🟨,
60', Keller T. ↓, Kerber L. ↑,
73', Kerber L. 🟨,
75', Siersleben T. 🟨,
78', Wittek M. ↓, Medic J. ↑,
78', Honsak M. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
82', Conteh S. 🟨,
85', Sissoko I. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
85', Broschinski M. ↓, Daschner L. ↑,
90+2', Hofmann P. ↓, Bamba S. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 16 in the zone Bundesliga (Relegation)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 3.

Bochum is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Heidenheim has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bochum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Bochum will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Riemann M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Heidenheim: Gimber B. (Yellow Cards) Niehues J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Holtmann G. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Maloney L. (Head Injury) Thomalla D. (Illness)

Last 17 head-to-head matches Bochum won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 29:19 (average 1.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
14.12.24	Union Berlin - Bochum	1:1 ✺
07.12.24	Bochum - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Stuttgart - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Bochum - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 TLLLW
- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
UEFA Europa Conference League
19.12.24	Heidenheim - St. Gallen	1:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
15.12.24	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	1:3 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
12.12.24	İstanbul Başakşehir - Heidenheim	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
07.12.24	Bayern Munich - Heidenheim	4:2 ✺
01.12.24	Heidenheim - Eintracht Frankfurt	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
13.04.24	Bochum - Heidenheim	1:1
26.11.23	Heidenheim - Bochum	0:0
German 2 Bundesliga
21.04.21	Heidenheim - Bochum	0:2
18.12.20	Bochum - Heidenheim	3:0
16.05.20	Bochum - Heidenheim	3:0
06.10.19	Heidenheim - Bochum	2:3
08.03.19	Bochum - Heidenheim	1:0

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