Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Brych F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Bochum		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1
	3.5	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.67	2.08
	3.64	3.64	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.63	3.67	2.14	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.9)	3.59 ↓ (3.74)	2.08 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
27.1%

Draw
26.8%

Werder Bremen
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.7%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bochum's form might have worsened.

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.4%	6.4%	87.2%

Bochum - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 3 - 6.4%). Werder will win (votes: 41 - 87.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 77.6% – 96.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 15. Passlack F. 19. Bero M. 6. Sissoko I. 32. Wittek M. 23. Miyoshi K. 33. Hofmann P. (C) 21. Holtmann G.	1. Zetterer M. (G) 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. (C) 3. Jung A. 19. Kohn D. 8. Weiser M. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 20. Schmid R. 7. Ducksch M. 11. Njinmah J.
Substitutes
29. Broschinski M. 7. Daschner L. 10. de Wit D. 2. Gamboa C. 1. Horn T. (G) 11. Kwarteng M. 8. Losilla A. 4. Masovic E. 24. Pannewig M.	28. Alvero S. 30. Backhaus M. (G) 10. Bittencourt L. 15. Burke O. 2. Deman O. 17. Grull M. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 22. Malatini J. 5. Pieper A.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Lynen S. 🟨,
29', Wittek M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Stage J. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
57', Njinmah J. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
72', Miyoshi K. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
72', Wittek M. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
76', Ducksch M. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
76', Hofmann P. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
76', Lynen S. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
77', Sissoko I. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
86', Passlack F. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
90+1', Kohn D. ↓, Deman O. ↑,
90+1', Schmid R. ↓, Pieper A. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Bochum is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Werder is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bochum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Werder will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Boadu M. (Hip Injury) Medic J. (Broken cheekbone)

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Knee Injury) Topp K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Veljkovic M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bochum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Stuttgart - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Bochum - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.11.24	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bochum	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTL
- Werder Bremen
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.05.24	Werder Bremen - Bochum	4:1
14.01.24	Bochum - Werder Bremen	1:1
25.02.23	Werder Bremen - Bochum	3:0
03.09.22	Bochum - Werder Bremen	0:2

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