Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 13

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brych F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:30	Disney+
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	15:30	ARD, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6, Sportschau, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Start
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	RCTI+
Japan	23:30	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 6
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	17:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	ON Plus
International	14:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Bochum		Werder Bremen

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.6	2	Watch
	3.3	3.5	2.1
	3.5	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.7	3.67	2.08
	3.64	3.64	2.08	Watch
	3.5	3.4	2.05	Watch
	3.63	3.67	2.14	Watch
	3.5	3.6	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (2.9)	3.59 ↓ (3.74)	2.08 ↓ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
27.1%

Draw
26.8%

Werder Bremen
46.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

25.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

24.7%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bochum's form might have worsened.

Werder Bremen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Werder Bremen than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.4%	6.4%	87.2%

Bochum - Werder Bremen Predictions

Users Predictions: 47 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 3 - 6.4%). Werder will win (votes: 41 - 87.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Werder: 77.6% – 96.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 15. Passlack F. 19. Bero M. 6. Sissoko I. 32. Wittek M. 23. Miyoshi K. 33. Hofmann P. (C) 21. Holtmann G.	1. Zetterer M. (G) 4. Stark N. 32. Friedl M. (C) 3. Jung A. 19. Kohn D. 8. Weiser M. 6. Stage J. 14. Lynen S. 20. Schmid R. 7. Ducksch M. 11. Njinmah J.
Substitutes
29. Broschinski M. 7. Daschner L. 10. de Wit D. 2. Gamboa C. 1. Horn T. (G) 11. Kwarteng M. 8. Losilla A. 4. Masovic E. 24. Pannewig M.	28. Alvero S. 30. Backhaus M. (G) 10. Bittencourt L. 15. Burke O. 2. Deman O. 17. Grull M. 21. Hansen-Aaroen I. 22. Malatini J. 5. Pieper A.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Werner O.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Lynen S. 🟨,
29', Wittek M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', 0 - 1, Stage J. ⚽, Ducksch M. (A),
57', Njinmah J. ↓, Burke O. ↑,
72', Miyoshi K. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
72', Wittek M. ↓, Kwarteng M. ↑,
76', Ducksch M. ↓, Grull M. ↑,
76', Hofmann P. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
76', Lynen S. ↓, Bittencourt L. ↑,
77', Sissoko I. ↓, Pannewig M. ↑,
86', Passlack F. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
90+1', Kohn D. ↓, Deman O. ↑,
90+1', Schmid R. ↓, Pieper A. ↑,

Preview

An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 12).

Bochum is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Werder is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bochum could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Werder will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bochum: Boadu M. (Hip Injury) Medic J. (Broken cheekbone)

There will not play in Werder: Agu F. (Knee Injury) Topp K. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in Werder: Veljkovic M. (Muscle Injury)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Bochum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:10 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Stuttgart - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Bochum - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.11.24	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
02.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bochum	7:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWTL
- Werder Bremen
German DFB Pokal
03.12.24	Werder Bremen - Darmstadt	1:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
30.11.24	Werder Bremen - Stuttgart	2:2 ✺
23.11.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Werder Bremen	1:0 ✺
09.11.24	Werder Bremen - Holstein Kiel	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Werder Bremen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
18.05.24	Werder Bremen - Bochum	4:1
14.01.24	Bochum - Werder Bremen	1:1
25.02.23	Werder Bremen - Bochum	3:0
03.09.22	Bochum - Werder Bremen	0:2

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