What is the expert prediction for Union Berlin vs Bochum?

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Union Berlin vs Bochum Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, December 14, 2024)

Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, Free
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hungary	Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Vision+
Indonesia	RCTI+
Japan	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Mexico	Sky Sport
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	Viaplay
Pakistan	Tapmad
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, Onefootball


	Union Berlin		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.63	4	5.25
	1.65	4.2	5	Watch
	1.66	4.01	5.58
	1.67	3.97	5.54	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5
	1.68	4.22	5.5	Watch
	1.65	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	4.06 ↑ (4.05)	5.33 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
58.4%

Draw
23.6%

Bochum
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	8.6%	8.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Union Berlin will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 2. Vogt K. 4. Leite D. 24. Skov R. 13. Schafer A. 8. Khedira R. (C) 15. Rothe T. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 16. Hollerbach B. 21. Skarke T.	27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 15. Passlack F. 6. Sissoko I. 19. Bero M. 32. Wittek M. (C) 23. Miyoshi K. 29. Broschinski M. 21. Holtmann G.
Substitutes
20. Benes L. 19. Haberer J. 36. Kemlein A. 14. Querfeld L. 26. Roussillon J. 37. Schwolow A. (G) 17. Siebatcheu J. 28. Trimmel C. 7. Vertessen Y.	9. Boadu M. 7. Daschner L. 10. de Wit D. 33. Hofmann P. 1. Horn T. (G) 41. Loosli N. 8. Losilla A. 13. Medic J. 24. Pannewig M.
Coaches
Svensson B.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Miyoshi K. 🟥,
23', 0 - 1, Sissoko I. ⚽, Passlack F. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Hollerbach B. ⚽, Skov R. (A),
37', Hollerbach B. 🟨,
37', Holtmann G. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Broschinski M. 🟨,
56', Skarke T. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
67', Vogt K. 🟨,
68', Schafer A. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
68', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Benes L. ↑,
74', Wittek M. ↓, Medic J. ↑,
80', Khedira R. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
80', Rothe T. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
88', Sissoko I. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
88', Broschinski M. ↓, Hofmann P. ↑,
90+1', Drewes P. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1.

Union Berlin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bochum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Injury) Stein Y. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Boadu M. (Hip Injury) Holtmann G. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Bero M. (Illness) Wittek M. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34:27 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:13 (average 2:1.3).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
06.12.24	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
08.11.24	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
07.12.24	Bochum - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Stuttgart - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Bochum - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.11.24	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.05.24	Union Berlin - Bochum	3:4
16.12.23	Bochum - Union Berlin	3:0
16.04.23	Union Berlin - Bochum	1:1
23.10.22	Bochum - Union Berlin	2:1
14.05.22	Union Berlin - Bochum	3:2
18.12.21	Bochum - Union Berlin	0:1
German 2 Bundesliga
19.05.19	Bochum - Union Berlin	2:2

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