Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 14 December 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Petersen M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Focus
Argentina	11:30	Disney+
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
Chile	11:30	Disney+
China	22:30	ZhiBo8
Colombia	09:30	Disney+
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 6
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, Free
Germany	15:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Start
Hungary	15:30	Net4+
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
India	20:00	Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	RCTI+
Japan	23:30	SKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect
Poland	15:30	Viaplay
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 5
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect
Turkey	17:30	beIN Connect
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	ON Plus
International	14:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Union Berlin		Bochum

	1	X	2
	1.62	3.9	5.25	Watch
	1.63	4	5.25
	1.65	4.2	5	Watch
	1.66	4.01	5.58
	1.67	3.97	5.54	Watch
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.68	4.22	5.5	Watch
	1.65	4.2	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.59)	4.06 ↑ (4.05)	5.33 ↓ (5.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Union Berlin
58.4%

Draw
23.6%

Bochum
18%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.3%

23.6%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.1%

22.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Union Berlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Bochum has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Berlin than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
82.9%	8.6%	8.6%

Union Berlin - Bochum Predictions

Users Predictions: Union Berlin will win (28 of 33 users predict this - 84.85%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.62% – 97.08%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ronnow F. (G) 5. Doekhi D. 2. Vogt K. 4. Leite D. 24. Skov R. 13. Schafer A. 8. Khedira R. (C) 15. Rothe T. 11. Jeong Woo-Yeong 16. Hollerbach B. 21. Skarke T.	27. Drewes P. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 5. Bernardo 15. Passlack F. 6. Sissoko I. 19. Bero M. 32. Wittek M. (C) 23. Miyoshi K. 29. Broschinski M. 21. Holtmann G.
Substitutes
20. Benes L. 19. Haberer J. 36. Kemlein A. 14. Querfeld L. 26. Roussillon J. 37. Schwolow A. (G) 17. Siebatcheu J. 28. Trimmel C. 7. Vertessen Y.	9. Boadu M. 7. Daschner L. 10. de Wit D. 33. Hofmann P. 1. Horn T. (G) 41. Loosli N. 8. Losilla A. 13. Medic J. 24. Pannewig M.
Coaches
Svensson B.	Hecking D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', Miyoshi K. 🟥,
23', 0 - 1, Sissoko I. ⚽, Passlack F. (A),
33', 1 - 1, Hollerbach B. ⚽, Skov R. (A),
37', Hollerbach B. 🟨,
37', Holtmann G. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Broschinski M. 🟨,
56', Skarke T. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
67', Vogt K. 🟨,
68', Schafer A. ↓, Kemlein A. ↑,
68', Jeong Woo-Yeong ↓, Benes L. ↑,
74', Wittek M. ↓, Medic J. ↑,
80', Khedira R. ↓, Vertessen Y. ↑,
80', Rothe T. ↓, Haberer J. ↑,
88', Sissoko I. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
88', Broschinski M. ↓, Hofmann P. ↑,
90+1', Drewes P. 🟨,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 1.

Union Berlin has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bochum is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Union Berlin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Union Berlin is a favorite.

There will not play in Union Berlin: Ilic A. (Injury) Stein Y. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in Bochum: Boadu M. (Hip Injury) Holtmann G. (Hip Injury)

There are questionable in Bochum: Bero M. (Illness) Wittek M. (Illness)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Union Berlin won 10 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 34:27 (average 1.7:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Union Berlin won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:13 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Union Berlin
German Bundesliga
06.12.24	Stuttgart - Union Berlin	3:2 ✺
30.11.24	Union Berlin - Bayer Leverkusen	1:2 ✺
23.11.24	Wolfsburg - Union Berlin	1:0 ✺
08.11.24	Union Berlin - Freiburg	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	Bayern Munich - Union Berlin	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLTL
- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
07.12.24	Bochum - Werder Bremen	0:1 ✺
30.11.24	Augsburg - Bochum	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Stuttgart - Bochum	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Bochum - Den Bosch	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
09.11.24	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.05.24	Union Berlin - Bochum	3:4
16.12.23	Bochum - Union Berlin	3:0
16.04.23	Union Berlin - Bochum	1:1
23.10.22	Bochum - Union Berlin	2:1
14.05.22	Union Berlin - Bochum	3:2
18.12.21	Bochum - Union Berlin	0:1
German 2 Bundesliga
19.05.19	Bochum - Union Berlin	2:2

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