Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Voith-Arena (Heidenheim)

Referee: Stegemann S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Heidenheim		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	4.33	4.33	1.67	Watch
	4.4	4.1	1.71
	4.45	4.25	1.68	Watch
	4.62	4.3	1.74
	4.62	4.42	1.65	Watch
	4.4	4	1.67
	4.46	4.46	1.72	Watch
	4.5	4.2	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.47 ↓ (4.62)	4.26 ↑ (4.09)	1.69 ↑ (1.68)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Heidenheim
21.3%

Draw
22.4%

Stuttgart
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

23.2%

56.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

22.7%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Heidenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

The chances for Stuttgart have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Heidenheim than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5%	6.7%	88.3%

Heidenheim - Stuttgart Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Heidenheim (3.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Heidenheim (2.16) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Stuttgart will win (51 of 57 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.5% – 97.44%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stuttgart will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Heidenheim (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Stuttgart (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Ramaj D. (G) 4. Siersleben T. 6. Mainka P. (C) 5. Gimber B. 22. Ibrahimovic A. 16. Niehues J. 3. Schoppner J. 26. Behrens H. 8. Dinkci E. 10. Conteh C. 18. Pieringer M.	33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 3. Hendriks R. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 6. Stiller A. 30. Andres C. 8. Tomas T. 11. El Khannouss B. 10. Fuhrich C. 9. Demirovic E. (C)
Substitutes
21. Beck A. 31. Conteh S. 30. Dorsch N. 40. Feller F. (G) 17. Honsak M. 29. Kaufmann M. 28. Kolle A. 9. Schimmer S. 23. Traore O. H.	27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 14. Jaquez L. 29. Jeltsch F. 16. Karazor A. 18. Leweling J. 28. Nartey N. 26. Undav D. 4. Vagnoman J.
Coaches
Schmidt F.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Fuhrich C. ⚽,
20', 1 - 1, Dinkci E. ⚽,
24', Schoppner J. ↓, Traore O. H. ↑,
34', 2 - 1, Ibrahimovic A. (Penalty Awarded),
45', 2 - 2, Mittelstadt M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Tomas T. ↓, Undav D. ↑,
64', Pieringer M. ↓, Schimmer S. ↑,
64', Conteh C. ↓, Conteh S. ↑,
66', Fuhrich C. ↓, Leweling J. ↑,
66', El Khannouss B. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
72', Siersleben T. 🟨,
76', Niehues J. ↓, Dorsch N. ↑,
76', Siersleben T. ↓, Kolle A. ↑,
78', Stiller A. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
78', Assignon L. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,
82', 3 - 2, Conteh S. ⚽,
88', 3 - 3, Undav D. ⚽, Nartey N. (A),
90+2', Andres C. 🟨,
90+2', El Khannouss B. 🟨,

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 2.

Heidenheim has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Stuttgart is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Heidenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Stuttgart is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Heidenheim: Feller F. (Knee Injury) Paqarada L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Heidenheim: Dorsch N. (Illness)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Diehl J. (Injury) Jovanovic L. (Back Injury) Zagadou D. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Heidenheim won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:25. (average 1.2:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Heidenheim won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.5:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6:9	-3	3

Last Results with these Odds

Heidenheim - the odds 4.62 are the expected chance of winning is 20.53%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Heidenheim 1846
German Bundesliga
15.02.26	Augsburg - Heidenheim	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Heidenheim - Hamburger SV	0:2 ✺
01.02.26	Borussia Dortmund - Heidenheim	3:2 ✺
24.01.26	Heidenheim - RB Leipzig	0:3 ✺
17.01.26	Wolfsburg - Heidenheim	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLLT
- VfB Stuttgart
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Celtic - Stuttgart	1:4 ✺
German Bundesliga
14.02.26	Stuttgart - Köln	3:1 ✺
07.02.26	St. Pauli - Stuttgart	2:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
04.02.26	Holstein Kiel - Stuttgart	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.02.26	Stuttgart - Freiburg	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
05.10.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	1:0
25.04.25	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	0:1
15.12.24	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	1:3
31.03.24	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:3
05.11.23	Heidenheim - Stuttgart	2:0
Club Friendly
24.03.23	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
29.01.20	Stuttgart - Heidenheim	3:0

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