Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund)

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Brazil	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Canada	DAZN Canada
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Czech-republic	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Extra 1
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Poland	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Extra 1
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Russia	Okko Sport
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Singapore	beIN SPORTS MAX
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South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.79	4.2	4.29
	1.71	4.26	4.31	Watch
				Watch
	1.81	4.03	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	4.02 ↓ (4.25)	4.26 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
53.7%

Draw
23.8%

Stuttgart
22.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.3%

22.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	15.6%	9.4%

Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Borussia D (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Borussia D (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 3. Anton W. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 9. Guirassy S.	33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 8. Tomas T. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D. (C)
Substitutes
27. Adeyemi K. 28. Anselmino A. 2. Couto Y. 13. Gross P. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 24. Svensson D.	2. Al Dakhil A. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. 28. Nartey N. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', Jeltsch F. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Can E. (Pen),
41', 2 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 2 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Undav D. ⚽, Mittelstadt M. (A),
73', Brandt J. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
73', Tomas T. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
78', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
80', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
80', Andres C. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
81', Beier M. 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
90+1', 3 - 3, Undav D. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
90+3', Beier M. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
90+3', Stiller A. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
90+3', Leweling J. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.

In this match, Borussia D is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Back Injury) Duranville J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Sule N. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Hendriks R. (Muscle Injury) Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:32. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 55.34%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWW
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Stuttgart - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Mainz - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Stuttgart - Mainz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	1:2
22.09.24	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	5:1
06.04.24	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	0:1
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	2:0
German Bundesliga
11.11.23	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
15.04.23	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	3:3
22.10.22	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	5:0

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