Match Info

Bundesliga - Round 11

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Signal Iduna Park (Dortmund) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Brand B. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Arena
Albania	15:30	Tring Sport 4
Argentina	11:30	Disney+, ESPN 3
Asia	—	MBC Action
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Brazil	11:30	Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	16:30	Nova Sport
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
China	22:30	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 1
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 6, Oneplay
Denmark	15:30	Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	15:30	DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga UHD, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports Extra 1
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Iceland	14:30	Viaplay
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Japan	23:30	DAZN Japan
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Mongolia	22:30	Premier Sports 3
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Norway	15:30	Viaplay
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Peru	09:30	Disney+, Fox Sports
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 3, Polsat Sport Extra 1
Portugal	14:30	DAZN / App
Romania	16:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	17:30	Okko Sport
Saudi Arabia	17:30	Shahid
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 2
Singapore	22:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1
Thailand	21:30	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	17:30	S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
Ukraine	16:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
Uruguay	11:30	Disney+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	10:30	Disney+
Vietnam	21:30	TV 360
International	14:30	Onefootball


	Borussia Dortmund		Stuttgart

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.9	4.2	Watch
	1.85	3.7	4.15	Watch
	1.79	4.2	4.29
	1.71	4.26	4.31	Watch
				Watch
	1.81	4.03	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.73)	4.02 ↓ (4.25)	4.26 ↓ (4.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Borussia Dortmund
53.7%

Draw
23.8%

Stuttgart
22.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.3%

22.4%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.9%

23.5%

21.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Stuttgart has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stuttgart than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	15.6%	9.4%

Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 24 - 77.4%). Stuttgart will win (votes: 3 - 9.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 62.7% – 92.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.25, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Borussia D (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Borussia D (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Borussia Dortmund will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Stuttgart (votes: 1 - 12.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kobel G. (G) 3. Anton W. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 26. Ryerson J. 7. Bellingham J. 8. Nmecha F. 14. Beier M. 10. Brandt J. 17. Chukwuemeka C. 9. Guirassy S.	33. Nubel A. (G) 22. Assignon L. 29. Jeltsch F. 24. Chabot J. 7. Mittelstadt M. 30. Andres C. 6. Stiller A. 8. Tomas T. 11. El Khannouss B. 18. Leweling J. 26. Undav D. (C)
Substitutes
27. Adeyemi K. 28. Anselmino A. 2. Couto Y. 13. Gross P. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 20. Sabitzer M. 21. Silva F. 24. Svensson D.	2. Al Dakhil A. 27. Bouanani B. 1. Bredlow F. (G) 10. Fuhrich C. 3. Hendriks R. 16. Karazor A. 28. Nartey N. 4. Vagnoman J. 23. Zagadou D.
Coaches
Kovac N.	Hoeness S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', Jeltsch F. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Can E. (Pen),
41', 2 - 0, Beier M. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 3)
47', 2 - 1, Undav D. ⚽, El Khannouss B. (A),
71', 2 - 2, Undav D. ⚽, Mittelstadt M. (A),
73', Brandt J. ↓, Svensson D. ↑,
73', Tomas T. ↓, Fuhrich C. ↑,
78', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
80', Mittelstadt M. ↓, Hendriks R. ↑,
80', Andres C. ↓, Nartey N. ↑,
81', Beier M. 🟨,
89', 3 - 2, Adeyemi K. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
90+1', 3 - 3, Undav D. ⚽, Fuhrich C. (A),
90+3', Beier M. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
90+3', Stiller A. ↓, Karazor A. ↑,
90+3', Leweling J. ↓, Vagnoman J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 0.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Recently, Borussia D has had a series of away games.

In this match, Borussia D is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Back Injury) Duranville J. (Lacking Match Fitness) Sule N. (Toe Injury)

There will not play in Stuttgart: Demirovic E. (Foot Injury) Diehl J. (Ankle Injury) Keitel Y. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Stuttgart: Hendriks R. (Muscle Injury) Jaquez L. (Muscle Injury) Silas (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 45:32. (average 2.3:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.3:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Borussia Dortmund - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 55.34%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga
08.11.25	Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
05.11.25	Manchester City - Borussia Dortmund	4:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
31.10.25	Augsburg - Borussia Dortmund	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
28.10.25	Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 penalties ✺
German Bundesliga
25.10.25	Borussia Dortmund - Köln	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWW
- VfB Stuttgart
German Bundesliga
09.11.25	Stuttgart - Augsburg	3:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Stuttgart - Feyenoord	2:0 ✺
German Bundesliga
01.11.25	RB Leipzig - Stuttgart	3:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.25	Mainz - Stuttgart	0:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
26.10.25	Stuttgart - Mainz	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	1:2
22.09.24	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	5:1
06.04.24	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	0:1
German DFB Pokal
06.12.23	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	2:0
German Bundesliga
11.11.23	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	2:1
15.04.23	Stuttgart - Borussia Dortmund	3:3
22.10.22	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	5:0

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