Match Info

Champions League - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Aspmyra Stadion (Bodø)

Referee: Kruzliak I. (Svk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 3
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Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay
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World	VIX App


	Bodø Glimt		Sporting Lisbon

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.7	2.88
	2.6	3.7	2.5
	2.32	3.75	2.95
	2.33	3.76	2.97
	2.29	3.71	2.97	Watch
	2.3	3.5	2.8
	2.47	3.78	2.77
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.56)	3.7 ↓ (3.86)	2.83 ↑ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bodø Glimt
40.3%

Draw
25.9%

Sporting Lisbon
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

24.9%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

24.6%

37.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bodø Glimt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.2%	20.7%	17.1%

Bodø Glimt - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Users Predictions: 79 users predict this event. Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 50 - 63.3%). Sporting will win (votes: 14 - 17.7%). It will Tie (votes: 15 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bodø Glimt: 52.7% – 73.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 20 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodø Glimt (votes: 14 - 70%). Sporting (votes: 3 - 15%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Bodø Glimt (1.41) (votes: 6 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Bodø Glimt (1.65) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH 0 - Bodø Glimt (1.67) (votes: 2 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 34 Selected Experts predict this event. Bodø Glimt (votes: 26 - 76.5%). Sporting (votes: 5 - 14.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 8.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Haikin N. (G) 20. Sjovold F. 4. Bjortuft O. L. 6. Gundersen J. 15. Bjorkan F. 26. Evjen H. 7. Berg P. (C) 19. Fet S. 11. Blomberg O. 9. Hogh K. 10. Hauge J.	1. Silva R. (G) 13. Vagiannidis G. 26. Diomande O. 25. Inacio G. 22. Fresneda I. 42. Hjulmand M. (C) 52. Simoes J. 10. Catamo G. 17. Trincao 31. Luis Guilherme 97. Suarez L.
Substitutes
5. Aleesami H. 8. Auklend S. 24. Bassi D. 21. Helmersen A. 22. Klynge A. 1. Lund J. (G) 25. Maatta I. 94. Mikkelsen A. 2. Nielsen V. 23. Riisnaes M. 14. Saltnes U. 45. Sjong I. (G)	23. Braganca D. 6. Debast Z. 41. Diego Callai (G) 15. Faye S. 58. Goncalves F. 45. Moreira D. 5. Morita H. 90. Nel R. 72. Quaresma E. 11. Santos N. 12. Virginia J. (G)
Coaches
Knutsen K.	Borges R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
20', Hjulmand M. 🟨,
32', 1 - 0, Fet S. (Penalty Awarded),
44', Gundersen J. 🟨,
45+1', 2 - 0, Blomberg O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Simoes J. ↓, Morita H. ↑,
63', Vagiannidis G. ↓, Santos N. ↑,
63', Catamo G. ↓, Faye S. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Hogh K. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
75', Blomberg O. ↓, Maatta I. ↑,
76', Hogh K. 🟨,
79', Hogh K. ↓, Helmersen A. ↑,
79', Fet S. ↓, Saltnes U. ↑,
79', Luis Guilherme ↓, Braganca D. ↑,
87', Evjen H. ↓, Auklend S. ↑,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Sporting may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Bro Hansen M. (Inactive) Sunday G. (Inactive)

There will not play in Sporting: Araujo M. (Yellow Cards) Goncalves P. (Yellow Cards) Ioannidis F. (Knee Injury) Kochorashvili G. (Injury) Mangas R. (Knee Injury) Quenda G. (Foot Injury)

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Sporting CP: 0.74% Bodo/Glimt: 0.47%

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sporting CP	1	1	0	0	3:1	2	3
36	Bodo/Glimt	1	0	0	1	0:5	-5	0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bodø Glimt
Norwegian NM Cup
05.03.26	Molde - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
24.02.26	Inter Milan - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Bodø Glimt - Inter Milan	3:1 ✺
28.01.26	Atlético Madrid - Bodø Glimt	1:2 ✺
20.01.26	Bodø Glimt - Manchester City	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 60.6 WWWWW
- Sporting Lisbon
Liga Portugal
07.03.26	Braga - Sporting Lisbon	2:2 ✺
Taça de Portugal
03.03.26	Sporting Lisbon - Porto	1:0 ✺
Liga Portugal
27.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Estoril Praia	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Moreirense - Sporting Lisbon	0:3 ✺
15.02.26	Sporting Lisbon - Famalicão	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWWWW

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