Match Info

Copa Colombia - First stage - Round 5

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday

Location: Estadio Metropolitano de Techo (Bogotá)


	Bogotá		Deportivo Pereira

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.2	1.42	Watch
	3.7	3.3	1.82
				Watch
	7.76	4.15	1.44
				Watch
	4	3.2	1.85
	5.05	3.38	1.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.6 ↑ (4.54)	3.65 ↑ (3.35)	1.65 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bogotá
16.8%

Draw
25.9%

Deportivo Pereira
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.2%

27.3%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.8%

26.7%

53.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bogotá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Deportivo Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pereira than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Pereira (1.63) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Deportivo Pereira will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Deportivo Pereira will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, Quintero D. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Kelvin Osorio ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 0 - 3, Quintero D. ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 0.

Bogotá is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pereira's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Bogotá may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Pereira is a strong favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:18. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Bogotá won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.2:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bogotá FC
Colombian Copa
07.06.25	Deportivo La Equidad - Bogotá	1:2 ✺
03.06.25	Bogotá - Leones	0:0 ✺
30.05.25	Fortaleza CEIF - Bogotá	2:0 ✺
Colombian Primera B
17.05.25	Leones - Bogotá	3:0 ✺
11.05.25	Bogotá - Tigres	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WTLLL
- Deportivo Pereira
Colombian Copa
11.06.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	2:0 ✺
07.06.25	Leones - Deportivo Pereira	2:2 ✺
02.06.25	Deportivo Pereira - Fortaleza CEIF	0:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
23.05.25	Deportivo Pereira - Deportivo La Equidad	3:0 ✺
19.05.25	Independiente Medellín - Deportivo Pereira	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera B
26.08.19	Deportivo Pereira - Bogotá	1:0
11.03.19	Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira	1:1
28.08.18	Deportivo Pereira - Bogotá	1:1
02.04.18	Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira	1:1
06.08.17	Deportivo Pereira - Bogotá	3:0
19.03.17	Bogotá - Deportivo Pereira	1:0
19.11.16	Deportivo Pereira - Bogotá	3:0

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