Match Info

Date: 8 April 2021, Thursday


	Bolívar		Junior Barranquilla

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.75	5.5	Watch
	1.67	3.8	4.75
	1.7	3.65	4.7	Watch
	1.64	3.65	4.6
	1.69	4	4.84
	1.67	3.8	5	Watch
	1.6	3.78	5.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.7)	3.78 ↑ (3.67)	4.99 ↑ (4.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bolívar
56.5%

Draw
24.8%

Junior Barranquilla
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25.3%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

16.7%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Junior Barranquilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-20.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolívar that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Junior Barranquilla than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Junior Barranquilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	3.6%	6%

Bolívar - Junior Barranquilla Predictions

Users Predictions: Bolívar will win (76 of 84 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.2% – 96.76%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Bolívar is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Junior is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Junior could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Bolívar is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Bolívar won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Bolívar won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bolívar La Paz
Bolivian Division Profesional
03.04.21	Bolívar - Blooming	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Bolívar - Real Potosí	1:0 ✺
Copa Libertadores
16.03.21	Bolívar - Montevideo Wanderers	5:0 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
13.03.21	Guabirá - Bolívar	3:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
09.03.21	Montevideo Wanderers - Bolívar	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WWWLL
- Junior Barranquilla
Colombian Primera A
04.04.21	Junior Barranquilla - Rionegro Águilas	0:0 ✺
30.03.21	Jaguares de Córdoba - Junior Barranquilla	0:2 ✺
27.03.21	Junior Barranquilla - Independiente Santa Fe	1:1 ✺
24.03.21	Deportes Tolima - Junior Barranquilla	0:1 ✺
20.03.21	Junior Barranquilla - Deportivo Pereira	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores
20.03.12	Bolívar - Junior Barranquilla	2:1

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