Match Info

Serie A - Round 13

Date: 1 December 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Feliciani E. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport 2, ZAP
Albania	20:45	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	16:45	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	23:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	06:45	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	20:45	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Brazil	16:45	Disney+
Bulgaria	21:45	Max Sport 3
Canada	14:45	DAZN Canada
China	03:45	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	14:45	ESPN 5
Croatia	20:45	Arena Sport 3, DAZN, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	21:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech Republic	20:45	Sport 1
Denmark	20:45	TV2 Play
Finland	21:45	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	20:45	DAZN France
Georgia	23:45	Setanta Sports 2
Germany	20:45	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
Greece	21:45	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong Kong	03:45	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	02:45	Vidio
Israel	21:45	Sport 1
Italy	20:45	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	04:45	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	20:45	Arena Premium 2, ART Sport 2
Kuwait	22:45	Shasha
Macao	03:45	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	03:45	Astro Arena Bola, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	20:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	13:45	Disney+
Netherlands	20:45	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	08:45	beIN Connect
Norway	20:45	VG+
Peru	14:45	Disney+, Fox Sports
Poland	20:45	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	19:45	Sport TV2
Romania	21:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3
Saudi Arabia	22:45	STC TV
Serbia	20:45	Arena Premium 2
Slovakia	20:45	Sport 1
South Africa	21:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ESPN 5 South
South Korea	04:45	SPOTV Now
Spain	20:45	DAZN Espana
Sweden	20:45	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	20:45	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	02:45	True ID, True Premier Football 5
Tunisia	20:45	Diwan Sport
Turkey	22:45	S Sport 2, S Sport+
United Kingdom	19:45	DAZN
Uruguay	16:45	Disney+
Usa	14:45	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:45	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	02:45	K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab


	Bologna		Cremonese

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.1	7	Watch
	1.52	4.25	6.4	Watch
	1.53	4.25	7.17
	1.45	4.36	7.45	Watch
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.57	4.31	6.83
	1.53	4	6.66
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)	4.18 ↓ (4.36)	6.86 ↓ (7.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
63.3%

Draw
22.8%

Cremonese
13.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

65.5%

21.8%

12.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

21.3%

12.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Cremonese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cremonese than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.1%	5.3%	2.6%

Bologna - Cremonese Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Cremonese (3.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 6.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Bologna (1.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Bologna (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DNB - Bologna (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

EH +1 - Bologna (1.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Bologna will win (69 of 75 users predict this - 92%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.86% – 98.14%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bologna will win (42 of 45 users predict this - 93.33%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 51 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 47 - 92.2%). Cremonese (votes: 1 - 2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 5.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ravaglia F. (G) 20. Zortea N. 16. Casale N. 26. Lucumi J. 33. Miranda J. 6. Moro N. 4. Pobega T. 7. Orsolini R. (C) 21. Odgaard J. 30. Dominguez B. 9. Castro S.	1. Audero E. (G) 24. Terracciano F. 6. Baschirotto F. 15. Bianchetti M. (C) 4. Barbieri T. 32. Payero M. 27. Vandeputte J. 38. Bondo W. 3. Pezzella G. 90. Bonazzoli F. 10. Vardy J.
Substitutes
10. Bernardeschi F. 28. Cambiaghi N. 24. Dallinga T. 29. De Silvestri L. 80. Fabbian G. 19. Ferguson L. 82. Franceschelli M. (G) 14. Heggem T. 2. Holm E. 22. Lykogiannis C. 25. Pessina M. (G) 11. Rowe J. 77. Sulemana I.	23. Ceccherini F. 22. Floriani R. 55. Folino F. 33. Grassi A. 11. Johnsen D. 48. Lordkipanidze D. 14. Moumbagna F. 69. Nava L. (G) 99. Sanabria A. 19. Sarmiento J. 16. Silvestri M. (G) 8. Valoti M. 20. Vazquez F. 7. Zerbin A.
Coaches
Italiano V.	Nicola D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', Pezzella G. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Payero M. ⚽, Bianchetti M. (A),
34', 0 - 2, Vardy J. ⚽, Bonazzoli F. (A),
45+3', 1 - 2, Orsolini R. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Dominguez B. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
46', Casale N. ↓, Heggem T. ↑,
50', 1 - 3, Vardy J. ⚽, Barbieri T. (A),
59', Terracciano F. 🟨,
67', Payero M. ↓, Grassi A. ↑,
76', Odgaard J. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
76', Bonazzoli F. ↓, Sanabria A. ↑,
76', Bondo W. ↓, Zerbin A. ↑,
80', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
80', Zortea N. ↓, Holm E. ↑,
86', Pezzella G. ↓, Folino F. ↑,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 12).

Bologna has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cremonese's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Bologna is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Freuler R. (Shoulder Injury) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Skorupski L. (Thigh Injury) Vitik M. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Cremonese: Collocolo M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Cremonese: Faye M. (Ankle Injury)

We predict that Bologna will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).

Including home match between the teams, Bologna won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
UEFA Europa League
27.11.25	Bologna - Red Bull Salzburg	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
22.11.25	Udinese - Bologna	0:3 ✺
09.11.25	Bologna - Napoli	2:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
06.11.25	Bologna - Brann	0:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.11.25	Parma - Bologna	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWTW
- US Cremonese
Italian Serie A
23.11.25	Cremonese - Roma	1:3 ✺
07.11.25	Pisa - Cremonese	1:0 ✺
01.11.25	Cremonese - Juventus	1:2 ✺
29.10.25	Genoa - Cremonese	0:2 ✺
25.10.25	Cremonese - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
20.05.23	Cremonese - Bologna	1:5
23.01.23	Bologna - Cremonese	1:1

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