Match Info

Date: 8 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna)

Referee: Piccinini M. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Australia	beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	CMore, CMore Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Hungary	Sport 2
Italy	Sky Sport
Japan	DAZN Japan
Poland	Eleven Sports 1, Eleven Sports 4
Portugal	Sport TV
Serbia	Arena Sport
Slovenia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	BT Sport


	Bologna		Sampdoria

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.15	3.2	3.6
	2.12	3.35	3.55
	2.13	3.2	3.6
	2.19	3.3	3.81
	2.1	3.25	3.6	Watch
	2.09	3.38	3.64	Watch
	2.16	3.3	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.08)	3.28 ↓ (3.5)	3.63 ↑ (3.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bologna
44.6%

Draw
29.1%

Sampdoria
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.6%

27.1%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3%

27.3%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.8%	41.8%	10.4%

Bologna - Sampdoria Predictions

Users Predictions: 67 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 32 - 47.8%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 7 - 10.4%). It will Tie (votes: 28 - 41.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 35.8% – 59.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).

Bologna has the most likely position - 16 (10.13%), has project points - 38, has currently - 6, has a chance of relegated (28%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Sampdoria has the most likely position - 20 (22.59%), has project points - 32, has currently - 2, has a good chance of relegated (51%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 51, importance 47, match rating 49. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bologna won 5.

Recent matches Bologna is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sampdoria has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Bologna will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Bologna: Barrow M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sampdoria: De Luca M. (Knee Injury) Winks H. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Bologna won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 30-22.

Including matches at home between the teams Bologna won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 21-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bologna FC
Italian Serie A
02.10.22	Juventus - Bologna	3:0 ✺
17.09.22	Bologna - Empoli	0:1 ✺
11.09.22	Bologna - Fiorentina	2:1 ✺
04.09.22	Spezia - Bologna	2:2 ✺
01.09.22	Bologna - Salernitana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LLWTT
- Sampdoria
Italian Serie A
02.10.22	Sampdoria - Monza	0:3 ✺
17.09.22	Spezia - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
10.09.22	Sampdoria - Milan	1:2 ✺
04.09.22	Verona - Sampdoria	2:1 ✺
31.08.22	Sampdoria - Lazio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.04.22	Bologna - Sampdoria	2:0
07.11.21	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2
14.03.21	Bologna - Sampdoria	3:1
22.11.20	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2
28.06.20	Sampdoria - Bologna	1:2
27.10.19	Bologna - Sampdoria	2:1
20.04.19	Bologna - Sampdoria	3:0

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