Match Info

Serie B - Round 35

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa)

Referee: Manganiello G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	Sport 5 Max
Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Serbia	Arena Sport 5, Arena Sport 9
Slovakia	Sport TV2


	Sampdoria		Monza

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.1	2.1	Watch
	3.45	3.1	2.12	Watch
	3.82	3.12	2.22
	3.56	3.23	2.11	Watch
	3.4	3	2.1
	3.66	3.02	2.16	Watch
	3.15	3.15	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.52 ↑ (3.05)	3.1 ↑ (3.05)	2.17 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampdoria
26.6%

Draw
30.2%

Monza
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.2%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

41.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	30%	50%

Sampdoria - Monza Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Sampdoria will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Monza will win (votes: 5 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monza: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
50. Martinelli T. (G) 29. Di Pardo A. 28. Abildgaard O. (C) 2. Viti M. 21. Giordano S. 33. Conti F. 94. Esposito Sa. 16. Henderson L. 11. Begic T. 99. Brunori M. 77. Pierini N.	20. Thiam D. (G) 13. Ravanelli L. 15. Delli Carri F. 3. Lucchesi L. 24. Bakoune A. 14. Obiang P. 32. Pessina M. (C) 19. Birindelli S. 28. Colpani A. 30. Caso G. 10. Cutrone P.
Substitutes
72. Barak A. 34. Casalino T. 10. Cherubini L. 7. Cicconi M. 23. Depaoli F. 25. Ferrari A. 1. Ghidotti S. (G) 17. Hadzikadunic D. 13. Palma M. 8. Ricci M. 5. Riccio A. 92. Soleri E.	25. Alvarez A. 6. Antov V. 17. Balde K. 2. Brorsson A. 27. Capolupo S. 44. Carboni A. 26. Ciurria P. 21. Colombo L. 8. Hernani 47. Mota D. 37. Petagna A. 1. Pizzignacco S. (G)
Coaches
Lombardo A.	Bianco P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Cutrone P. ⚽, Delli Carri F. (A),
13', 0 - 2, Caso G. ⚽, Cutrone P. (A),
15', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
26', Lucchesi L. ↓, Carboni A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Esposito Sa. ↓, Cherubini L. ↑,
46', Delli Carri F. ↓, Ciurria P. ↑,
52', Pierini N. 🟨,
56', Caso G. ↓, Petagna A. ↑,
56', Obiang P. ↓, Colombo L. ↑,
66', Cutrone P. ↓, Hernani ↑,
67', Giordano S. ↓, Cicconi M. ↑,
67', Henderson L. ↓, Ricci M. ↑,
77', Di Pardo A. ↓, Depaoli F. ↑,
82', Pierini N. ↓, Soleri E. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Petagna A. ⚽, Bakoune A. (A),
86', Petagna A. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Monza might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Sampdoria: Henderson L. (Inactive) Malanca L. (Inactive) Pafundi S. (Inactive) Venuti L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Monza: Antov V. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Monza: Petagna A. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.7:2).

Including home match between the teams, Sampdoria won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Sampdoria	6	1	1	4	6:13	-7	4

Last Results with these Odds

Sampdoria - the odds 3.05 are the expected chance of winning is 30.15%, but this team recently wins 23% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampdoria
Italian Serie B
11.04.26	Pescara - Sampdoria	1:2 ✺
06.04.26	Sampdoria - Empoli	1:0 ✺
22.03.26	Sampdoria - Avellino	2:1 ✺
18.03.26	Carrarese - Sampdoria	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Sampdoria - Venezia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWLT
- Monza 1912
Italian Serie B
11.04.26	Monza - Bari	2:0 ✺
06.04.26	Catanzaro - Monza	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Monza - Venezia	1:1 ✺
17.03.26	Reggiana - Monza	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Monza - Palermo	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
20.09.25	Monza - Sampdoria	1:0
Italian Serie A
06.02.23	Monza - Sampdoria	2:2
02.10.22	Sampdoria - Monza	0:3

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