The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bolton Wanderers 42.6%
Draw 27.1%
Oldham Athletic 30.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.7%
27%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.5%
18%
40.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bolton Wanderers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
Oldham Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-12.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bolton Wanderers that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Oldham Athletic than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Oldham Athletic could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bolton Wanderers - Oldham Athletic Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
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Bolton has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (21%), has a chance of promoted (19%), has a very small chance of win league (3%).
Oldham has a small chance of relegated (9%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (13%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).
Bolton is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Oldham is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Recently Oldham have a series of home games.
Bolton will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bolton won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Bolton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.