Match Info

Date: 17 October 2021, Sunday


	Bordeaux		Nantes

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.2	2.75	Watch
	2.75	3.1	2.6
	2.63	3.05	2.88	Watch
	2.7	3.1	2.7
	2.8	3.24	2.81
	2.62	3.1	2.7
	2.69	3.32	2.73	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↓ (2.78)	3.16 ↓ (3.19)	2.74 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
35.3%

Draw
30%

Nantes
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34%

29.6%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25%

21.7%

49.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Nantes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bordeaux that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (+15%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nantes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
21.9%	35.9%	42.2%

Bordeaux - Nantes Predictions

Users Predictions: 64 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 14 - 21.9%). Nantes will win (votes: 27 - 42.2%). It will Tie (votes: 23 - 35.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nantes: 30.1% – 54.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

Bordeaux has the most likely position - 20 (16.02%), has project points - 38, has currently - 7, has a chance of relegated (35%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nantes has the most likely position - 10 (7.66%), has project points - 51, has currently - 13, has a very small chance of relegated (5%), has a small chance of qualify for ucl (6%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 8 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Bordeaux won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 1
03.10.21	Monaco - Bordeaux	3:0 ✺
26.09.21	Bordeaux - Rennes	1:1 ✺
22.09.21	Montpellier - Bordeaux	3:3 ✺
18.09.21	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	1:2 ✺
12.09.21	Bordeaux - Lens	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTWL
- FC Nantes
French Ligue 1
03.10.21	Nantes - Troyes	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	Reims - Nantes	3:1 ✺
22.09.21	Nantes - Brest	3:1 ✺
19.09.21	Angers - Nantes	1:4 ✺
12.09.21	Nantes - Nice	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
08.05.21	Nantes - Bordeaux	3:0
21.08.20	Bordeaux - Nantes	0:0
26.01.20	Nantes - Bordeaux	0:1
03.11.19	Bordeaux - Nantes	2:0
24.02.19	Nantes - Bordeaux	1:0
07.10.18	Bordeaux - Nantes	3:0
20.01.18	Nantes - Bordeaux	0:1

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