Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 34

Date: 23 April 2024, Tuesday

Location: Matmut Atlantique (Bordeaux)

Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	Amazon Prime Video


	Bordeaux		Dunkerque

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.75	5	Watch
	1.7	3.7	4.8
	1.7	3.75	4.75	Watch
	1.69	3.85	5.9
	1.68	3.61	5.9
	1.65	3.8	4.8
	1.7	3.92	4.8	Watch
	1.65	3.75	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.7)	3.77 ↓ (3.84)	5.12 ↑ (4.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bordeaux
56.4%

Draw
25.1%

Dunkerque
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

24.6%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

26.5%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bordeaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Dunkerque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Dunkerque aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	35.3%	23.5%

Bordeaux - Dunkerque Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bordeaux will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Dunkerque will win (votes: 4 - 23.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bordeaux: 17.8% – 64.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Johnsson K. (G) 34. Michelin C. 24. Marcelin J. 5. Barbet Y. (C) 14. Nsimba V. 20. Diaz P. 6. Ignatenko D. 10. Weissbeck G. 30. Davitashvili Z. 9. Vipotnik Z. 11. Pitu A.	30. Kone M. (G) 19. Youssouf B. 2. Ba A. 26. Sangante O. (C) 23. Laaziri A. 80. Yassine G. 25. Gbamin J. 10. Anziani J. 15. Lagae B. 18. Courtet G. 20. Bardeli E.
Substitutes
33. Angely M. 4. Bokele M. 72. Cassubie Y. 7. Livolant J. 8. Sissokho I. 13. Straczek R. (G) 91. Tebili D.	9. Baghdadi S. 24. Bah A. 16. Balijon A. (G) 3. Bessile L. 5. Boissier R. 4. Fernandez N. 27. Ghrieb R.
Coaches
Riera A.	Castro L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Vipotnik Z. ⚽, Weissbeck G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', 2 - 0, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Vipotnik Z. (A),
64', Laaziri A. ↓, Ghrieb R. ↑,
64', Anziani J. ↓, Baghdadi S. ↑,
64', Ba A. ↓, Bessile L. ↑,
74', Ignatenko D. ↓, Cassubie Y. ↑,
75', Pitu A. ↓, Livolant J. ↑,
75', Marcelin J. ↓, Bokele M. ↑,
79', Bessile L. 🟨,
84', Yassine G. ↓, Bah A. ↑,
86', Nsimba V. ↓, Angely M. ↑,
87', Vipotnik Z. ↓, Tebili D. ↑,
90+1', Gbamin J. ↓, Boissier R. ↑,
90+4', Tebili D. 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 14 and 15).

Bordeaux is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Dunkerque is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Bordeaux is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bordeaux won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Girondins de Bordeaux
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Saint-Étienne - Bordeaux	2:1 ✺
13.04.24	Bordeaux - Bastia	2:3 ✺
06.04.24	Caen - Bordeaux	0:1 ✺
30.03.24	Bordeaux - Paris FC	3:3 ✺
16.03.24	Annecy - Bordeaux	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLWTL
- USL Dunkerque
French Ligue 2
20.04.24	Amiens - Dunkerque	0:1 ✺
13.04.24	Dunkerque - Guingamp	0:1 ✺
06.04.24	Bastia - Dunkerque	1:1 ✺
30.03.24	Dunkerque - Annecy	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Laval - Dunkerque	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
19.12.23	Dunkerque - Bordeaux	0:2

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