Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Stade de la Meinau (Strasbourg)

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1
Czech-republic	Voyo
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay, V Sport 1
France	DAZN 3, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
India	GXR World
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Caliente TV App
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Eleven Sports 4
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 5
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	beIN Sports
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Turkey	beIN Connect
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Ligue 1 Pass
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz
World	Disney+


	Strasbourg		Montpellier

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.5
				Watch
	1.77	4.01	4.62
				Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.33
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.73)	3.94 ↓ (4.03)	4.48 ↑ (4.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Strasbourg
54.6%

Draw
24.2%

Montpellier
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.9%

23.5%

21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

22.8%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Montpellier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.3%	6.7%	20%

Strasbourg - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 22 - 75.9%). Montpellier will win (votes: 6 - 20.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 3.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 60.3% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Petrovic D. (G) 23. Sarr M. 2. Omobamidele A. 29. Doukoure I. 32. Barco V. 19. Diarra H. (C) 8. Andrey Santos 7. Moreira D. 15. Nanasi S. 6. Lemarechal F. 10. Emegha E.	40. Lecomte B. (C) 29. Tchato E. 2. Meite A. 5. Sagnan M. 17. Sainte-Luce T. 13. Chotard J. 27. Omeragic B. 22. Fayad K. 11. Savanier T. 70. Coulibaly T. 9. Delort A.
Substitutes
27. Amo-Ameyaw S. 17. Diongue D. 22. Doue G. 30. Johnsson K. (G) 14. Mara S. 47. Messi R. 42. Ouattara A. 77. Sobol E. 5. Sylla A.	16. Bertaud D. (G) 44. Chennahi T. 12. Ferri J. 10. Khazri W. 14. Maamma O. 21. Mincarelli L. 47. Mouanga Y. 18. Pays N. 77. Sacko F.
Coaches
Rosenior L.	Gasset J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', Sagnan M. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 0, Emegha E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Sagnan M. ↓, Mouanga Y. ↑,
62', Omeragic B. ↓, Maamma O. ↑,
62', Coulibaly T. ↓, Pays N. ↑,
63', Delort A. ↓, Khazri W. ↑,
69', 2 - 0, Nanasi S. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
73', Meite A. 🟨,
75', Barco V. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
75', Meite A. ↓, Ferri J. ↑,
77', Andrey Santos 🟨,
80', Khazri W. 🟨,
83', Moreira D. ↓, Sobol E. ↑,
84', Nanasi S. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
87', Maamma O. 🟨,
88', Emegha E. ↓, Mara S. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Montpellier could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.

There will not play in Strasbourg: Bellaarouch A. (Groin Injury) Dion M. S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Montpellier: Jullien C. (Knee Injury) Maksimovic N. (Thigh Injury) Nzingoula R. (Yellow Cards) Sylla I. (Injury)

There are questionable in Strasbourg: Bakwa D. (Knee Injury) Delaine T. (Back Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 23:28 (average 1.3:1.6).

Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- RC Strasbourg
Coupe De France
05.02.25	Strasbourg - Angers	1:3 ✺
French Ligue 1
02.02.25	Rennes - Strasbourg	1:0 ✺
25.01.25	Strasbourg - Lille	2:1 ✺
19.01.25	Olympique Marseille - Strasbourg	1:1 ✺
Coupe De France
15.01.25	Thaon - Strasbourg	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 LLWTW
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
31.01.25	Montpellier - Lens	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Toulouse - Montpellier	1:2 ✺
17.01.25	Montpellier - Monaco	2:1 ✺
12.01.25	Montpellier - Angers	1:3 ✺
04.01.25	Lyon - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
18.08.24	Montpellier - Strasbourg	1:1
03.03.24	Montpellier - Strasbourg	2:2
17.09.23	Strasbourg - Montpellier	2:2
05.02.23	Strasbourg - Montpellier	2:0
17.09.22	Montpellier - Strasbourg	2:1
16.01.22	Strasbourg - Montpellier	3:1
Coupe De France
02.01.22	Montpellier - Strasbourg	1:0

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