Match Info

FA Cup - 1/128-finals

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Meadow Park (Borehamwood)


	Boreham Wood		Crawley Town

	1	X	2
	2.4	3.75	2.55
	2.42	3.7	2.72
	1.57	4.03	5.26	Watch
	2.43	3.71	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3.8	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.95)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	3.08 ↑ (2.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
42.4%

Draw
25.8%

Crawley Town
31.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

26.3%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

24.9%

40.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boreham Wood's performance.

Crawley Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Crawley Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boreham Wood that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Crawley Town than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Crawley Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Boreham Wood - Crawley Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Boreham Wood will win (votes: 9 - 90%). Crawley will win (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boreham Wood: 71.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Boreham Wood (4.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Boreham Wood will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Boreham Wood (votes: 7 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ashmore N. (G) 5. Bush Ch. 15. King J. 6. O'Connell C. 16. Reynolds C. (C) 12. Newton J. 7. Sousa E. 8. Brunt Z. 32. Rush M. 19. White T. 10. Abdulmalik A.	34. Wollacott J. (G) 2. Malone S. 5. Barker C. 4. Bajrami G. 3. Conroy D. (C) 27. Watson L. 17. Scott K. 6. Anderson M. 28. Flint J. 8. Holohan G. 21. Loft R.
Substitutes
11. Benton J. 17. Clayden C. 2. Coxe C. 9. Dixon J. 14. Henry A. 3. Ilesanmi F. 18. Norris L. 4. Payne J. 20. Richardson L.	10. Brown R. 24. Dixon K. 14. Flower L. 7. Forster H. 33. Heater W. (G) 19. Pereira D. 15. Radcliffe B. 11. Roles J. 9. Tshimanga K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
7', Anderson M. 🟨,
9', 1 - 0, Rush M. ⚽, Brunt Z. (A),
14', Flint J. 🟨,
15', 2 - 0, Brunt Z. (Pen),
35', Barker C. 🟨,
45+3', Loft R. 🟨,
45+3', Loft R. 🟥,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Scott K. ↓, Flower L. ↑,
46', Bajrami G. ↓, Dixon K. ↑,
52', Brunt Z. 🟨,
56', Flower L. 🟨,
62', Holohan G. ↓, Forster H. ↑,
66', King J. ↓, Coxe C. ↑,
66', Newton J. ↓, Ilesanmi F. ↑,
72', Coxe C. 🟨,
72', 3 - 0, Abdulmalik A. ⚽,
78', Malone S. ↓, Pereira D. ↑,
78', Watson L. ↓, Brown R. ↑,
78', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Clayden C. ↑,
78', Brunt Z. ↓, Richardson L. ↑,
83', Rush M. ↓, Norris L. ↑,
85', Forster H. 🟨,

Preview

Boreham Wood is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Crawley is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Crawley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Boreham Wood has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
25.10.25	Forest Green Rovers - Boreham Wood	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	York City - Boreham Wood	2:2 ✺
18.10.25	Boreham Wood - Eastleigh	2:0 ✺
English FA Cup
11.10.25	Eastbourne Borough - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
English National League
04.10.25	Yeovil Town - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWWW
- Crawley Town
English League Two
25.10.25	Crawley Town - Bristol Rovers	4:0 ✺
18.10.25	Shrewsbury Town - Crawley Town	1:0 ✺
11.10.25	Crawley Town - Walsall	1:1 ✺
English EFL Trophy
07.10.25	Leyton Orient - Crawley Town	2:1 ✺
English League Two
04.10.25	Cambridge United - Crawley Town	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLTLL

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