Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 2, New World Sport App, StarTimes App
Albania	15:30	SuperSport 4
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD
Australia	01:30	beIN Connect
Austria	15:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	15:30	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	15:30	Moja TV, Sportklub 5
Bulgaria	16:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	09:30	DAZN Canada
China	22:30	ZhiBo8
Croatia	15:30	SportKlub 5
Czech Republic	15:30	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	15:30	See, Viaplay
Finland	16:30	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport+
France	15:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free
Germany	15:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga, WOW
Greece	16:30	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	22:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	15:30	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	14:30	Vodafone Sport
India	20:00	JioTV app, Sony LIV, Sony Sports TEN 2, Vision+
Indonesia	21:30	iNews, RCTI+, Vidio
Israel	16:30	Sport 3
Kosovo	15:30	ART Motion Sport 1, SuperSport 4
Laos	21:30	beIN Connect
Malaysia	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	08:30	Sky Sport
Montenegro	15:30	Sportklub 5
Netherlands	15:30	Viaplay
New Zealand	03:30	beIN Connect
North Central America	—	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean, Flow Sports App Caribbean, Flowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 5
Norway	15:30	Viaplay, V Sport 1
Pakistan	19:30	Tapmad
Philippines	22:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Poland	15:30	Eleven Sports 1, Viaplay
Portugal	14:30	DAZN 5
Russia	17:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	15:30	SportKlub 5
Singapore	22:30	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	15:30	Sport TV2, Voyo
South Korea	23:30	Coupang Play
Spain	15:30	DAZN Espana
Sweden	15:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	15:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Thailand	21:30	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, PPTV Sports
Turkey	17:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	16:30	Setanta Sports+
Usa	09:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
Vietnam	21:30	ON Plus
International	14:30	Disney+, Onefootball


	Bochum		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.6	Watch
	5	4.5	1.62	Watch
	5.26	4.43	1.63
	5.31	4.38	1.63	Watch
	5	4.33	1.62	Watch
	5.4	4.64	1.63	Watch
	5	4.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (4.54)	4.44 ↑ (4.24)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
18.8%

Draw
21.7%

Borussia Dortmund
59.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

21.2%

22.7%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

22.2%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.2%	19%	75.9%

Bochum - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 3 - 5.4%). Borussia D will win (votes: 42 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 63.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 4. Masovic E. 5. Bernardo 6. Sissoko I. 17. Krauss T. 11. Masouras G. 19. Bero M. 21. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P. (C)	1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 24. Svensson D. 20. Sabitzer M. 13. Gross P. 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 43. Gittens J. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
18. Bamba S. 29. Broschinski M. 10. de Wit D. 2. Gamboa C. 34. Grave P. (G) 8. Losilla A. 13. Medic J. 23. Miyoshi K. 24. Pannewig M.	3. Anton W. 46. Azhil A. 14. Beier M. 2. Couto Y. 16. Duranville J. 42. Kabar A. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 7. Reyna G.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Masouras G. ⚽, Hofmann P. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Masouras G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sabitzer M. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
49', Bernardo 🟨,
58', Gittens J. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
63', Sule N. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
63', Adeyemi K. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
74', Holtmann G. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
80', Gross P. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
88', Masouras G. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
88', Hofmann P. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
90+1', Krauss T. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 0.

Recent matches Bochum is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borussia D is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borussia D is a favorite.

There will not play in Bochum: Boadu M. (Hamstring Injury) Passlack F. (Eye injury) Wittek M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Muscle Injury) Chukwuemeka C. (Knee Injury) Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Ryerson J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Bochum: Holtmann G. (Muscle Injury) Masouras G. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
09.02.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Bochum - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bochum - RB Leipzig	3:3 ✺
15.01.25	Bochum - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTW
- Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League
11.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
27.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	4:2
28.01.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	3:1
26.08.23	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
28.04.23	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
German DFB Pokal
08.02.23	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
German Bundesliga
05.11.22	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	3:0
30.04.22	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	3:4

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