Match Info

GERMANY: Bundesliga - Round 22

Date: 15 February 2025, Saturday

Location: Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum)

Referee: Osmers H. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Bochum		Borussia Dortmund

	1	X	2
	5	4.33	1.6	Watch
	5	4.5	1.62	Watch
	5.26	4.43	1.63
	5.31	4.38	1.63	Watch
	5	4.33	1.62	Watch
	5.4	4.64	1.63	Watch
	5	4.5	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.14 ↑ (4.54)	4.44 ↑ (4.24)	1.62 ↓ (1.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bochum
18.8%

Draw
21.7%

Borussia Dortmund
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

22.7%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.9%

22.4%

57%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bochum has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bochum than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.2%	19%	75.9%

Bochum - Borussia Dortmund Predictions

Users Predictions: 56 users predict this event. Bochum will win (votes: 3 - 5.4%). Borussia D will win (votes: 42 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 19.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 63.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Horn T. (G) 14. Oermann T. 20. Ordets I. 4. Masovic E. 5. Bernardo 6. Sissoko I. 17. Krauss T. 11. Masouras G. 19. Bero M. 21. Holtmann G. 33. Hofmann P. (C)	1. Kobel G. (G) 25. Sule N. 23. Can E. (C) 4. Schlotterbeck N. 24. Svensson D. 20. Sabitzer M. 13. Gross P. 27. Adeyemi K. 10. Brandt J. 43. Gittens J. 9. Guirassy S.
Substitutes
18. Bamba S. 29. Broschinski M. 10. de Wit D. 2. Gamboa C. 34. Grave P. (G) 8. Losilla A. 13. Medic J. 23. Miyoshi K. 24. Pannewig M.	3. Anton W. 46. Azhil A. 14. Beier M. 2. Couto Y. 16. Duranville J. 42. Kabar A. 33. Meyer A. (G) 6. Ozcan S. 7. Reyna G.
Coaches
Hecking D.	Kovac N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Masouras G. ⚽, Hofmann P. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Masouras G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Sabitzer M. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
49', Bernardo 🟨,
58', Gittens J. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
63', Sule N. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
63', Adeyemi K. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
74', Holtmann G. ↓, Gamboa C. ↑,
80', Gross P. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
88', Masouras G. ↓, Broschinski M. ↑,
88', Hofmann P. ↓, de Wit D. ↑,
90+1', Krauss T. ↓, Losilla A. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bochum won 0.

Recent matches Bochum is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Borussia D is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Borussia D is a favorite.

There will not play in Bochum: Boadu M. (Hamstring Injury) Passlack F. (Eye injury) Wittek M. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Muscle Injury) Chukwuemeka C. (Knee Injury) Jessen N. (Muscle Injury) Mane F. (Muscle Injury) Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Ryerson J. (Red Card)

There are questionable in Bochum: Holtmann G. (Muscle Injury) Masouras G. (Knee Injury)

Last 13 head-to-head matches Bochum won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22:25 (average 1.7:1.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Bochum won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.3:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- VfL Bochum
German Bundesliga
09.02.25	Holstein Kiel - Bochum	2:2 ✺
01.02.25	Bochum - Freiburg	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Borussia Mönchengladbach - Bochum	3:0 ✺
18.01.25	Bochum - RB Leipzig	3:3 ✺
15.01.25	Bochum - St. Pauli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TLLTW
- Borussia Dortmund
UEFA Champions League
11.02.25	Sporting Lisbon - Borussia Dortmund	0:3 ✺
German Bundesliga
08.02.25	Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart	1:2 ✺
01.02.25	Heidenheim - Borussia Dortmund	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
29.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk	3:1 ✺
German Bundesliga
25.01.25	Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
27.09.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	4:2
28.01.24	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	3:1
26.08.23	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
28.04.23	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	1:1
German DFB Pokal
08.02.23	Bochum - Borussia Dortmund	1:2
German Bundesliga
05.11.22	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	3:0
30.04.22	Borussia Dortmund - Bochum	3:4

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